Live -- 7/23
 

CRC R3:

bad bunch -- most haven't routed

no value/high risk

#7, Mountain Chapel, is the best of the bunch

exacta: 7 / 2, 10

2 won it for fun @ 7:5 --- sitting a nice stalking trip

when horses that previously have gone 5.5F (twice) and 6.5F win 1st time 2 turn racing, beating horses that have previously routed, I ALWAYS lose. :rolleyes:

It's Saturday, I typically play FOUR tracks during the day, and I'm expecting some good racing. What I get instead is:

1) a turf speed bias @ SAR -- carrying over from yesterday and expected for the meet
2) canceled card @ DEL
3) off the turf @ CRC
4) TWO 2 year old races in a row @ WO

way to go

WO R3:

2 year old maiden race

minimal bet

#8, Silver Silhouette -- in today after debuting in a stakes race -- Contreras stays up -- need I say more

#6, Youcan'tcatchme -- best of the rest of those having run previously -- chased, holding 2nd, around the track going 5F 1st out; stretches to 6F today --- not exactly an ideal angle.

exacta: 8 OVER 6

if one of the 1sters breaks this up, at least I only went in for a single play

CRASH

6 won it
8 menaced on the turn and collapsed

I have a theory: Josie Carroll is really Catherine Day-Phillips with BETTER stock.

WO R4:

figures to be quite a bit of speed in this race, and should set up for a closer/horse that can get 9F

#5, Happy Klapper: 2nd off the layoff and should be running late

win @ >= 5:1

got to 5:1 but during the running of the race -- so no bet

this race pretty much captures what's happening on the turf at pretty much all the racetracks I play: SPEED IS NOT COMING back.

Plenty of speed in this race. Maybe the 3, the winner, was fastest of all BUT
she ran a 45 and change HALF, 109 and change for 6F --- how does this horse hang on going 9F?

Hard turf courses

SAR R5:

one of a very few playable races today @ SAR

#4, Dynafortwo: nice against the grain effort last out. My top pick but if this course is playing towards speed, might not get the best trip. Getting more money than I'd want

#3, Ordained: should be the pacesetter and will be dangerous on this course -- especially cutting back from 9F

#8, Self Control: trouble trip going 7F last out -- the favorite --stretching out

EDIT:

the 9 unseated the rider and ran off with 1 min to post and was scratched

What a skunking. Had a nice win bet on the 4 but I also had a 4/3 exacta, that was paying $66. I looked HOME late stretch until the IMPOSSIBLE 6 came out of no where and got the 3 at the wire. And the 8 chugged along for 4th.

Saratoga - Race 5
# Win Place Show
4 $11.80 $6.30 $4.70
6 . $32.40 $13.40
3 . . $4.50

That's the way it goes.

WO R7:

#10, Stunning in Red: like this one off the cutback. Best of those coming out of this race.

the others are:
#6, Gentle Angel -- probably hard pressed to get 6F
#7, Ground Swell -- nice closing effort last out
#9, Conjob -- coming out of the same race as the 10 but Contreras is up and this is a must use.

10 OVER 6,7,9