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-   -   Parx Pace line Pattern Problem Pick (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=7809)

Bill V. 10-16-2011 12:07 PM

Parx Pace line Pattern Problem Pick
 
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This is horse 7 from todays 10/16/11 Parx race 8 the distance is 6.5
I think the best line is line 3. I did my + 0 and (0)s and I see never a bad race
but Plus + races with better speed ratings every other race. Here are races 1 3 5 7 and 10 they have a plus
races 2 4 6 8 and 9 are (0) Will Today be a Plus + again or back to a (0)

Best represents what will happen today ??

Attachment 24316

Bill V. 10-16-2011 12:12 PM

KGen Plus
 
4 Attachment(s)
Here are my readouts
Attachment 24317
Attachment 24318
Attachment 24319
Attachment 24321

Bill V. 10-16-2011 12:19 PM

and thoro
 
1 Attachment(s)
Thoromation
Attachment 24322

mikesal57 10-16-2011 12:19 PM

Bill ..I would use his last line ....and like you said ...he looks like he should bounce
if there is another early horse in the race ,then maybe you can find value in someone else

there is speed in this race..keep an eye on the 10 should sit right behind the speed

Bill V. 10-16-2011 12:43 PM

Lines
 
1 Attachment(s)
Hi Mike I dont see it in the last two races at NW2X48m
But lets see who is left after scratches

here are my contenders and lines at this point

Horse 1 -1
Horse 1A -1
Horse 5 - 1
Horse 7 -3
Horse 8 -3
Horse 9 - 2
Horse 10- 1or2

Attachment 24323

Bill

Bill V. 10-16-2011 01:01 PM

Lines before scratches
 
1 Attachment(s)
Attachment 24324

GS
Bill

For The Lead 10-16-2011 02:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bill V. (Post 74563)

Bill,
If you look at your graph in this post http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthr...?t=7808&page=2 you will see one line that is "different" from the others. I don't use graphs, but "TOM" made the comment pointing out the aberrant line (line 5). The same thing holds true in your graph in this thread. Line 3 is considerably different from all the other lines you entered. It seems logical that the aberrant line should not be used as it is not representative of how the horse "normally" runs. Therefore, I would use line 1. Line 1 is on the same surface, it is within 1/2 furlong of today's distance so it is similar and it is the most current race.

Bill V. 10-16-2011 03:36 PM

Final
 
Ok very good I just went with the 9 and 8 in the double

I hope the 7 has a bounch pattern repeat

Bill V. 10-16-2011 03:51 PM

went with KGEN
 
1 Attachment(s)
In the end I said go with KGEN
Bet the 1 - 5 what the heck

Attachment 24325

Thanks

Bill

mikesal57 10-17-2011 11:21 AM

Nice going Bill..you beat my 12-1 shot by a nose :(


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