Derby Preps
 

Southwest Stakes 10th at Oaklawn:

Really like Lawyer Ron here but he offers little value so I'll shoot against him:

1 Mark of Success 8/1
7 Steppenwolfer 9/2

Exacta bailout 3-1/7

good morning JM

here are the screen shots on Val3.

Lawyer ( # 3) is ranked # 1 in every category there is.

the # 8 is counter energy and is 12/1 ml.

cold punch exacta - 38

good luck JM as mine is only a mind bet man. Been beat up a bit too much lately to take this serious.

hit em good!

Richie

Thanks Rich... Just to clarify, My first 2 picks were the same as yours but I'm shooting against Lawyer Ron as a valuation play...

op 2-25- 10r
 

good morning
using spec
1-2.8
3.5-3
11.9-7
8.9-10
bl/bl 3 24.1
10p 21.8
1 19.5
7 17
having luck betting the fav on top(if it's one of my 4-5 contenders)with the others on the bottom.
will just watch this one.
john

Lawyer Ron looks much the best, no doubt about it. His Morning Line Odds of 8/5 are high. His Fair Odds are 6/5 in my opinion.

This event is loaded with speed. I doubt I'll bet this race, but if I had to play a trifecta I'd make sure to include #7 Steppenwolfer. He's the only Sustained runner in the field. At 9/2 I wouldn't bet him to win though.

Exotic value can be found with # 10 Celluoid Hero. At 20-1 I'd use this horse in the tri. He's a Presser, the only other non-Early horse in the race.

Maybe use Richie's Counter Energy horse for second and throw these guys in for third? 3/ 8/ 7-10. Yeah, I think I'll do that for $1. Total Cost = $2 for the race.

Small bet only

I will go with the 7 and 9 The 3 looks real good on my readouts

all 3
 

the 3 was vicious



<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=2 width="100%"><TBODY><TR align=left bgColor=#f9d900><TH width=30>#</TH><TH>Horse</TH><TH align=right>Win</TH><TH align=right>Place</TH><TH align=right>Show</TH></TR>
<TR><TD bgColor=#dfdfce>3</TD><TD>Lawyer Ron</TD><TD align=right>3.00</TD><TD align=right>2.40</TD><TD align=right>2.20</TD></TR>
<TR><TD bgColor=#dfdfce>7</TD><TD>Steppenwolfer</TD><TD align=right></TD><TD align=right>4.20</TD><TD align=right>3.60</TD></TR>
<TR><TD bgColor=#dfdfce>9</TD><TD>Red Raymond</TD><TD align=right></TD><TD align=right></TD><TD align=right>7.00</TD></TR>

</TBODY></TABLE>
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3><TBODY><TR><TD>Pedigree: </TD><TD noWrap>3 - Lawyer Ron, Chestnut Colt, 3, by Langfuhr - Donation by Lord Avie</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>


<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=2 width="100%"><TBODY><TR align=left bgColor=#f9d900><TH>Wager Type</TH><TH align=right>Payoff</TH><TH width=10> </TH><TH>Winning Numbers</TH><TH align=right>Pool</TH></TR>
<TR><TD>$2 Exacta</TD><TD align=right>$10.80</TD><TD> </TD><TD>3-7 </TD><TD align=right>$369,120</TD></TR>
<TR><TD>$1 Trifecta</TD><TD align=right>$61.40</TD><TD> </TD><TD>3-7-9 </TD><TD align=right>$403,337</TD></TR>

</TBODY></TABLE>

Todays Derby Prep is the 11th at Sunland. The Sunland Borderland Derby. Extremely Difficult race to cap.. BTW my choices for races to choose are from the Road to the Roses Game http://www.roadtotheroses.com/

Dr. Dechard appears to be an extremely vulnerable favorite.
My choices today are. Belligerance is quite risky as I'm using a Turf line.. Worked for Barbaro, lets see.

1-Belligerance
5-Plagiarst

Sunland?
 

back to the files
Sundland?

Not sure I follow you Bill Sunland Park.