Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up (http://paceandcap.com/forums/index.php)
-   Matchup Discussion (http://paceandcap.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=66)
-   -   New series of matching races coming (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=7978)

RichieP 12-01-2011 05:12 PM

New series of matching races coming
 
Lets put the series of TM Race class 100 or higher to bed :) We worked 19 races and the post time favorite won exactly three of them (15.75%)

Starting this weekend the focus shifts to another grouping of races - claiming races ONLY where the proj pace comes from an on the lead runner at both 1c and 2c in the last race at TODAYS track and distance

Dolce Vita!

Bill V. 12-01-2011 06:15 PM

Forty
 
1 Attachment(s)
Hi Rich

Forty Prayers is running at Parx on Sat 12/3
Its not a great race - only 7 entered but I think the 6 horse fits what
you have in mind

like i said its not the greatest race but I thought it fit
Attachment 25064

RichieP 12-02-2011 04:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bill V. (Post 76047)
Hi Rich

Forty Prayers is running at Parx on Sat 12/3
Its not a great race - only 7 entered but I think the 6 horse fits what
you have in mind

like i said its not the greatest race but I thought it fit
Attachment 25064

Hi Bill
It's Mom's birthday today and Karen and I are runnning out the door to go visit her. I haven't looked at the race to be honest but he looks like he could be it. Are there consistently faster "E" bucks in the race or is he the "one"?

Hope all is well man and Karen says a big hello!
Love
Richie

Bill V. 12-02-2011 05:30 PM

Forty
 
3 Attachment(s)
Hi Rich

Happy Birthday Mrs P :)


Rich I will put up the PPs and the only tandem was the 1 and 3

Attachment 25077

x
Attachment 25078
x
Attachment 25079

Bill V. 12-02-2011 05:32 PM

horse
 
3 Attachment(s)
3

Attachment 25080
4

Attachment 25081

5
Attachment 25082

Bill V. 12-02-2011 05:49 PM

horses
 
3 Attachment(s)
6
Attachment 25083

7
Attachment 25084
tandems
Attachment 25085

Bill V. 12-03-2011 09:26 AM

My Look
 
1 Attachment(s)
This race is for non winners of a race since June 3rd
There are many who have won races since but for claiming prices
under 7500 and thats ok in this race

Here are my lines

My Look

Code:

1H Forty Prayers  Line 1 win Same distance surface SR83
2H 2 very fast races last two I will use line 2 closer to
  todays distance  This horse seems to not like races over
  6.0 SR 87
3H Seems slow for this group. declining speed last 3 races
  maybe the 26 day rest will get it back to it its best speed
  numbers of 78-79 which still seem slow to this group
  no line or last line ?
4H Line 2 Same distance surface as today SR 83
5H Line 2 Same distance surface as today SR 85
6H Line 1 Same distance surface as today SR 83
7H line 1 similar distance surface as today SR 83
  shows a 89 3 back on a sy parx 7.0 track


mikesal57 12-03-2011 09:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RichieP (Post 76040)
Lets put the series of TM Race class 100 or higher to bed :) We worked 19 races and the post time favorite won exactly three of them (15.75%)

Starting this weekend the focus shifts to another grouping of races - claiming races ONLY where the proj pace comes from an on the lead runner at both 1c and 2c in the last race at TODAYS track and distance

Dolce Vita!

Hi Richie..

From what I seen , they were very good races and the matchers here hit quite a few of them at good prices. I don't think it was a bust.....aren't we looking to get races with vulnerable favorites?

Hit us with your stuff.... We can do it !!

Enjoy your day and put a smile on your mother

Mike

Capcondo 12-03-2011 11:41 AM

Parx #3
 
Nice race Bill. This race is tougher than it looks on the surface. Thanks for putting it up.

Here we go:

The speed horses are the 2 and 6. Most of the time when I have two early horses, one of them wins. I might be out thinking myself this time but I think the pace will be slow and the race will be won by an S type who runs well against a slow pace.

1: Late runner. OUT. Hasn't won against slow paces.
2: E/P type. I'm going against this horse.
3: S type. Too far back in sprints.
4: S type. 5th or 6th position at 1st call in sprints. Too far back. Out.
5: S type. 4th position vs 23.2. Close enough. Contender.
6: E type. Needs to be loose against slow fractions at 1st call. Has not run well against fast paces in sometime. Out.
7: S type. Sat third vs. 22.9 in last and 4th vs. 23.1 9 back. Contender.

Since the 2 and 6 do not break in the 1st and 2nd position regularly, I think the pace will go about 23.0 at the first call. The 7 will be the closest and can run in the third fraction.

I pick the 7 to win.

Tim

Bill V. 12-03-2011 02:38 PM

Tim
 
Thanks for looking at the race

Sadly The 5 broke down on the backstretch just at the second call
The 5 was in position but with it out of the race this left the 2 with a easy lead
The 7 made a bid but faded to finish 4th
The 2 won and paid $3.60

Thats horse racing


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 03:03 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2026, vBulletin Solutions Inc.