Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   WO --6 /10 -- Live (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=8390)

VDG 06-10-2012 02:57 PM

WO --6 /10 -- Live
 
WO R3:

:2:, Executive Five: speed; nice last race; but will probably get pressured by the 6 and 6.5F might be too long for him. win bet if > 10:1

:6:, Bear No Joke: nice last race. will he stalk or duel with the 2?

what happens up front with these two will determine how the race plays out. the 2 is supposed to be too fast early for the 6 but if the 6's jock sends, the race will fall apart

:4:, Lucky Lotto: 2nd off layoff; nice late run last out; probably gets a nice setup.

3, General Brock: another 2nd off layoff with a nice closing race last out.

VDG 06-10-2012 03:31 PM

WO R4:

interesting race, with, what appears to be, quite a few speed types:

the 9,7,5 and maybe the 1, all could be with the pace

of these, the 5, dropping in class, figures to be the fastest
and the 9 has the best last race on the front end.

if there is a multi-horse duel, the race should set up nicely for the 4, Vigilare. the 4 doesn't seem to want to win but just might get a collapsing race.

the other one I like, at a price, is the 8, Be a Bull: with the pace going 5.5f; speed, tired going 8.5F; now drops back to 5F. this will be my win bet @ > 10:1.

the four i like here are:

4,5,8,9 (in numeric order)

VDG 06-10-2012 03:49 PM

looks like WO might be speed favoring again

*********************************************

CD R5

tri

1,8/ 2,5 / 2,5

VDG 06-10-2012 04:05 PM

WO R5:

14, Kiche's Spirit: best turf form of the bunch
8, Legato: some good past turf form -- win bet @ very long odds
7, Consecutive: best of the aws routers

VDG 06-10-2012 04:13 PM

turf continues to be hard as a rock up there. the only horse to gain was the winner, and that one had a rail trip till she entered. sprinters should not be stretching and winning turf races. maybe it's time to actually run on it a bit when it's wet.

VDG 06-10-2012 04:27 PM

WO R6:

7, Spirited Miss: 1st time out this year; much better company last year; probably suited more for routes; Casse/Husbands, can't ignore; must use

1, Speightstown Lady: love this one today; huge effort last out; cuts back slightly today. will be very tough to beat

3, Lemon Splash: 6f to 7F back to 6F today; will be tough here

VDG 06-10-2012 04:43 PM

it's debatable whether the 1 beats the 7 -- very possibly would've. but there's no debate that the 1 got a terrible ride and should've been at least 2nd. I had the tri but I had it with the 1 for 2nd for quite a bit more.

VDG 06-10-2012 05:09 PM

WO R7:

4, Duppies: nice effort 1st out, making the lead in a race that completely collapsed. A lot of plugs in here. Won't take much to win this race. Need a patient ride from Moore, however; not an easy thing to get.

7, Just Paul: the one to beat.

8, Bilby Rhode: coming out of same race as the 4, when he almost made his initial start. the flow didn't go his way and this one is longshot win bet; just in case.

VDG 06-10-2012 05:15 PM

4 got pinched at the break, came out dead last, then Moore was in a hurry to get him into a wide chasing position. Needless to say, he collapsed.

7 ran second and 8, @ 40:1, was in contention until just before the wire.

pktruckdriver 06-10-2012 07:55 PM

These were a few of my Woodbine plays, a pick 4 that pays very little.


WO #7 $0.20 Pick-4 5,6,7,​WT,1,3,4,5,​WT,10,​WT,1,2,9 $ 7.20 won $ 22.39


WO #9 $1 Double 10,​WT,1,2,4,9 $ 4.00 won $ 11.05


Patrick


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