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-   -   WOX 07-18-12 Race 8 Using Synergism 2/3 (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=8490)

partsnut 07-17-2012 10:46 PM

WOX 07-18-12 Race 8 Using Synergism 2
 
3 Attachment(s)
WOX 07-18-12 Race 8 Using Synergism 2

Here's a very difficult race. The race favors a sustained horse.
From what I can see the (1) should control the last 2 fractions.
The morning line on this horse does not dictate a play for me.
I would need 5-1 or better on this horse.
As well, I would be doubtful that this horse can close enough to fill the gap.
For me it's a pass race but I would be interested in some opinions here.
The 2, 5, 9 are thinly separated. Which horse will it be?

shoeless 07-17-2012 11:08 PM

Even though it is way behind on 1F I would say the 1 as it owns the last 2 fractions and as Doc said this is a dangerous horse.

7 could be dangerous as well big lead 2nd call


Hope Pino chimes in, I still remember in one of our gatherings at Pimlico
he had a 50-1 shot on top in the last at Delaware.

partsnut 07-18-2012 07:57 AM

3 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by shoeless (Post 81623)
Even though it is way behind on 1F I would say the 1 as it owns the last 2 fractions and as Doc said this is a dangerous horse.

7 could be dangerous as well big lead 2nd call


Hope Pino chimes in, I still remember in one of our gatherings at Pimlico
he had a 50-1 shot on top in the last at Delaware.

---------------------------------------------------------------------
I decided to run this race with Synergism 3 and came up with the (9) 8-1 ML as a value play. Synergism 3 offers more extensive screens for me to get a better evaluation of a given race.
My perception of this race favors a horse with sustained pace and the (9)
seems to be within striking distance at the second call.
Here are the screen shots.

alydar_ David 07-18-2012 10:55 AM

7/18/2012 WO 8th 6F CLM 10K Kitty Litter

#2 Erma Lee appears to be a vulnerable favorite with only a slight overall pace advantage and unimpressive trainer and jockey statistics.

#7 Bling Bling Queen is the pacesetter with a significant early advantage. Unfortunately the trainer switch is nothing to write home about as the new trainer is 0 for 9 at this track, class and distance (t/c/d). The jockey is even worse with 0 for 28 at the t/c/d. On the other hand the horse has three wins at the t/c/d. At 10-1 that may be enough for a win bet.

raceman5 07-18-2012 12:11 PM

To
 
Me, i would like syng 2 more becuse it has fewer screens to analyze the old saying less is more.

Bob

Bill V. 07-18-2012 12:29 PM

Dad Richie and I
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by shoeless (Post 81629)
Even though it is way behind on 1F I would say the 1 as it owns the last 2 fractions and as Doc said this is a dangerous horse.

7 could be dangerous as well big lead 2nd call


Hope Pino chimes in, I still remember in one of our gatherings at Pimlico
he had a 50-1 shot on top in the last at Delaware.

Yes Jeff
Dad Richie and I talked about that race Pino hit at Del. all the way
home. I remember that very well
Hope your feeling better

Bill

Bill V. 07-18-2012 12:39 PM

Pp
 
1 Attachment(s)
I figured I would enter the PP's so everybody can see what is going on
no matter what program they use or match up

Horse 1
Attachment 28149

Bill V. 07-18-2012 12:46 PM

Horses
 
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2 3 4

Attachment 28150

Attachment 28151

Attachment 28152

Bill V. 07-18-2012 12:47 PM

horse
 
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5 6 7

Attachment 28153

Attachment 28154

Attachment 28155

Bill V. 07-18-2012 12:49 PM

last two
 
2 Attachment(s)
Horse 8 and 9

Attachment 28156

Attachment 28157


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