Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   What you saw (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=8741)

Bill V. 10-09-2012 02:24 PM

What you saw
 
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Interesting popular horse

today 3 selectors bet race 3 from Parx
all 3 men had this horse as one of their bets
either win only or win/place It finished last at 9/1

My question to the group what is it about this horse that
made it one of your win bets or your only win bet ?

Attachment 30829

pktruckdriver 10-09-2012 02:37 PM

For me you look at lines 3 , 4 and 5, all lines within last 6 months are tops here and this horse should romp these if she repeats these races, which she did not.

patrick

JIMBOB1002 10-09-2012 02:54 PM

Hi Bill. I decided on #3 as my top pick which was near the 5/2 range. Then #7 I believed was going to be below 5/2 so I decided on a win and place bet on my tier 3 horse.

Bill V. 10-10-2012 02:19 PM

Which Pace Line
 
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Question for the group
Which pace line would you use for this horse?

Attachment 30834

Now here are the other horses

pktruckdriver 10-10-2012 02:27 PM

Here I would use line 5 as it is the 1st route line and under 180 days, so fresh, it is also the horse's best line.

Line 8 is too far back for me


patrick

Bill V. 10-10-2012 02:29 PM

Here is the field
 
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Horses

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Bill V. 10-10-2012 02:32 PM

Horses
 
5 Attachment(s)
Here are 6 7 - 9 10 11

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Bill V. 10-10-2012 02:56 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by pktruckdriver (Post 84764)
Here I would use line 5 as it is the 1st route line and under 180 days, so fresh, it is also the horse's best line.


Line 8 is too far back for me


patrick


Thanks Patrick

My contenders with the 8's 5th line
My question about the 8 will it run back to the line?
Its seems like a early horse but could not get on the lead against
turf horse's Its back on the dirt today I would like to see
something to support line 5
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Bill V. 10-10-2012 03:22 PM

The 10 is a scratch

pktruckdriver 10-10-2012 03:42 PM

Okay the 8 horse is on top, you showed us, but can he run back to that race, I think he does not need to, if he gets near the lead today he should be okay.

My other contenders

4 8 out 13 1st or 2nd this year already, that is pretty good, has class and been running on dirt at CD, 2 of last 3 races put in him in it here, if 8 does not run his best.

6 Could stay with these, but has a pattern of good race , bad race, and today is bad race day, can he change up and win, of course, and seems to have no problem with HAW.

7 Could be a false favorite, a few things point to it, has some speed and did well last 2 out, in srints, on poly, here at Haw, it does not have good record, maybe does not like dirt too well


9 last horse who's only good thing is he has finished 2nd in 2 races here earlier in the year, that is all, and those SR were pretty low, not in tune with the others here today, but horse for course is always a thing to look for.


So yes the 8/ 4,6,7,9 / all tri if swinging for it


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