Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   Bill V's Smarty Jones Race at OP today (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=8972)

noddub62 01-21-2013 01:00 PM

Bill V's Smarty Jones Race at OP today
 
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If I have time I'll handicap this.

noddub62 01-21-2013 04:30 PM

Smarty Jones Race
 
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Tough Race. Barely 3YO and most lightly raced. $1 Ex Box 3,4,6

Lots of foreigners and no consistent tracks or distances so..... the exacta.

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A good race to watch.

Enjoy Bill!

lone speed 01-21-2013 04:54 PM

Judging by your readouts only and the pps posted, it looks like #6 Office is the pace of this matchup....looking for Office to stretch out and #3 Avare or #4 Texas to finish in the top two...

Three year old season is perking up......still a long time till the 1st Saturday in May....

Bill V. 01-21-2013 05:56 PM

Race
 
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That is so nice that they named a race after Smarty Jones

As it was after 2 races as a two year old at Parx
John Servis and Stew Elliott took the Chapmans 3 year old down to Oaklawn
Smarty won two more races the Rebel then the ARK derby
and the onto CD for the triple crown run.

This race is a pass for me too many issues

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noddub62 01-21-2013 07:09 PM

for sure Bill
 
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Results. Any futyre Triple Crown runners in this bunch?

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chris 01-21-2013 09:00 PM

Triple Crown canditates - who knows?
 
But there was a decent little bet to be had:

COMPLETED: 1a42b-f3336 OP #8 $2 Win 7,9 none $ 4.00 $ 26.20 + $ 22.20

Eliminated all horses who had made their mark on anything other than a fast track, this meant eliminating many in the field. This is a group of unclassified three year olds. Two turning fast track entrants regardless of where they had earned their stripes is what I was looking for. Doesn't always work, but it can bring some order to a race ripe with variables. Settled on two horses who ran in Reamington Parks Sprngbrd race - a nice little 300k offering. Eliminated the winner of that race, he had his 15 minutes of fame at 144-1, today would be some elses turn. One of the horses I bet had made a nice power move in that race, and other had run somewhat more aggresively than his PP's suggested. One showed up the other didn't. The elegance of doing it this way is that your going to get a price. Though anyone who looked closely would see the winner won his Mdn at Keenlands fall meet, and had run, though not to succesfully in a Churchill Downs GRII race....


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