Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   Sar 8th (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=9269)

Segwin 07-25-2013 02:13 PM

Sar 8th
 
Bill, the 8th at Saratoga is a 5 1/2f. Free pp from DRF too :D

clore1030 07-25-2013 02:26 PM

Oh boy, I'm not very successful with turf sprints. But if I knock out the favorite, I've got two live longshots in the 6 and 7 horses in that 8th race.

I'll probably stick to what I know works for me and if I can get 3/1, maybe even as low as 5/2 on the 1 horse in the fourth race, that's my one play for today.

Third race after a layoff and two good races at the Spa last year at the distance. The likely favorite Willet looks quite weak to me.

Bill V. 07-25-2013 02:36 PM

Sminoff Sobert Quick Call Stakes R8 Spa
 
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5.5 on the turf $100,000

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Bill V. 07-25-2013 02:46 PM

Scratch 1 POE and 8
 
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there is a horse with no NA pacelines
so I will tread lightly :rolleyes:

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Bill V. 07-25-2013 02:49 PM

horse
 
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5 6 7 8

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Bill V. 07-25-2013 04:22 PM

readouts
 
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These are 3 year olds. So some of the contenders have not run at this level
or run well at this level

I will see what the odds show
and probably go with the segments screen 7 and 2

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dirty moose 07-25-2013 04:44 PM

Question for you Bill. Why do you do you choose the selection screen over the BL/BL? Is that standard for you?

Segwin 07-25-2013 04:54 PM

I don't think I'll bet but iff'in I was going to - :5: :7: :2:

Bill V. 07-25-2013 05:20 PM

Blbl
 
For most races I bet off the blbl because my handicapping
happens when I'm picking pacelines
Basically i'm looking at the odd of the top 3 BLBL horses

In these turf races.It seems the 3rd panel of the segments
screen is doing well along with the top LP and HE rankings from BLBL

Bill

dirty moose 07-25-2013 05:37 PM

Could you elaborate on what you mean by most of your handicapping happens when your picking the pace line?


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