riding the favorites coat tails
 

How often do you come across a race that has a single standout (these are often maidens) that tends to make you NOT bet the contest? There is enough randomness in racing that you can utilize this ONE entry to garner a bigger prize. The 7th at Philly today was such a race: the overwhelming choice (#1) did not get out too well but ran on for third. The logical horses finished all around it however leading to a trifecta that one could have tapped into for only a few dollars keying the obvious choice as a single in the first, second and third slots to the other choices for a payoff of $593.20 for a relatively small investment of ( 1-(236) –(236), (236) -1-(236), (236)-(236)-1)

7th race - Philadelphia Park - April 11, 2006


Pgm Horse Jockey Win Place Show
2 Cindarullah Jose Luis Flores 26.20 12.20 4.20
3 Sign Post Hiram G. Rivera 20.20 6.00
1 Gold for Nina Frankie Pennington 2.10
Also ran: 6 - Lost the Signal , 4 - Winlocs Articchill , 5 - Keeping Faith , 8 - Plain N Fancy , 7 - Laura K

Wager Type Winning Numbers Payoff
$2 Pick 3 2-3-2 (3 correct) 105.60
$2 Exacta 2-3 223.00
$2 Trifecta 2-3-1 593.20

Let the coat-tails of a big favorite open the chance for randomness to pay you for your effort.

From Uncle Roughy (the old man)
 

Great helpful analysis post! I was there and as usual goofed on this race. I keyed the fav in the race with 348 etc so now I am checking the race over again (using Val II)to see how I overlooked the winner #2. Thanks Tompkins for your insight.

the key in using the 2 here was the e/late balance screen.

My take
 

Not bad
The key could be the 8 line 3 is the best of the last 3 but is it the line to use ?

The favorite #1 went off at .50/1
Very easy to bypass both of these and go to tier 3 and 4

the Late early
 

This screen is based on the lines I used and these are my top 5 contenders
Tompkins what do you think of this ??
two biggest early big Exacta

My lines
 

Horse 1

Next
 

Horse 2 Here is your winner

Next
 

Horse 3

Next #8
 

Here is the problem
is race 3 the best line?

Next #4
 

Next #4