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Search: Posts Made By: ScottB
Forum: General Discussion 11-01-2022, 09:27 AM
Replies: 2
Views: 630
Posted By ScottB
As a paper and pencil handicapper

I come across horses between 3/2 and 5/2 that are Prime Plays @ a high percentage of winners. Sometimes you have to take what is available.

You can't always get value.
Forum: General Discussion 11-01-2022, 09:18 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 1,293
Posted By ScottB
With the mutual needed for a 20% ROI, It would...

With the mutual needed for a 20% ROI, It would obviously be a spot play situation IMO.
Forum: General Discussion 10-29-2022, 11:01 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 1,293
Posted By ScottB
Betting 2 horses a race a debatable issue

A handicapper betting 2 horses a race would need to win at a 50% rate at an average 9.60 mutual for a 20% ROI.
Forum: Selections 06-11-2022, 09:11 AM
Replies: 17
Views: 3,568
Posted By ScottB
I'm going with #5 Creative Minister. I think he...

I'm going with #5 Creative Minister. I think he is sitting on a big race.
Forum: General Discussion 05-03-2022, 08:06 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 2,461
Posted By ScottB
For Bill Lyster

Mandaloun did NOT win the Kentucky Derby last year.
Forum: General Discussion 05-02-2022, 02:26 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 2,461
Posted By ScottB
10 tips for betting the Kentucky Derby

Betting on the Kentucky Derby
doesn't have to be a crapshoot ...



Here's the Top 10 list on what to do or avoid when handicapping the Kentucky Derby. With a little luck, you'll be on your way...
Forum: General Discussion 11-18-2021, 05:41 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 1,925
Posted By ScottB
Top 3 closing odds.

Top 3 closing odds.
Forum: General Discussion 11-18-2021, 03:53 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 1,925
Posted By ScottB
Top 3 choices

I remember when I was playing back in the late 70's and into the 80's one of the top 3 choices were winning @ 70% plus at all the major tracks.

Since then I have lost track of that stat. This...
Forum: General Discussion 06-02-2021, 04:41 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 1,720
Posted By ScottB
Medina Spirit’s drug test positive for steroid

Kentucky Derby win in jeopardy.

A 37 year drought of a Triple Crown winner and Baffert wins two in 4 years.

Now we know why.
Forum: General Discussion 05-18-2021, 07:58 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 5,687
Posted By ScottB
I am inclined to agree with you but New York may...

I am inclined to agree with you but New York may have been forced to wait to make their decision.

Prior to the Kentucky Derby many betting outlets took bets on horses to win the Triple Crown. New...
Forum: General Discussion 05-17-2021, 05:06 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 5,687
Posted By ScottB
New York suspends Bob Baffert from Belmont Stakes

New York horse racing officials on Monday barred the trainer Bob Baffert not only from entering the Kentucky Derby winner Medina Spirit in the Belmont Stakes, but also from running any of his horses...
Forum: General Discussion 05-13-2021, 09:24 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 1,982
Posted By ScottB
Go Figure

Medina Spirit is still allowed to run in the Preakness. Baffert's arms must have a very long reach.

The "Sport of Kings" is spiralling downward. With the cheating and a shortage of horses at many...
Forum: General Discussion 05-10-2021, 09:55 AM
Replies: 3
Views: 1,653
Posted By ScottB
I still cannot believe the owners turning over...

I still cannot believe the owners turning over Maximum Security to Bob Baffert to train. A person with average intelligence would realize Baffert would never train Maximum Security to beat his own...
Forum: General Discussion 05-09-2021, 05:18 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 1,653
Posted By ScottB
Medina Spirit

Medina Spirit was found drugged for the Kentucky Derby.

How many other of Baffert’s horses were drugged? We will never know.
Forum: Selections 03-31-2021, 01:31 PM
Replies: 1
Mvr
Views: 905
Posted By ScottB
Mvr

Race 5

#1 Going With Style
Forum: General Discussion 03-29-2021, 12:17 PM
Replies: 0
Views: 777
Posted By ScottB
Gulfstream Park Championship Meet

concluded on Sunday.

Todd A. Pletcher won the trainers title with 25% winners.

Irad Ortiz, Jr. won the jockey title with 27% winners.

Irad Ortiz, Jr. is probably the best jockey in the...
Forum: General Discussion 03-29-2021, 10:59 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 2,050
Posted By ScottB
I agree with Mitch stick with win betting. You...

I agree with Mitch stick with win betting. You don't have to bet short price favorites.
If you are a decent handicapper you will find plays at decent prices but you need to have patience and wait...
Forum: General Discussion 02-20-2021, 05:13 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 3,161
Posted By ScottB
Back around 2011 Ron Nicoletti had a partner...

Back around 2011 Ron Nicoletti had a partner Jessica Pacheco. I thought she was pretty cool.
Forum: General Discussion 01-21-2021, 12:15 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 2,482
Posted By ScottB
I bet that horse on that day too. Juan Velez is...

I bet that horse on that day too. Juan Velez is not one of the better riders @ MVR. 7% winner in 2020. We both made poor judgement on betting with that jockey aboard.
Forum: General Discussion 12-29-2020, 09:11 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 4,000
Posted By ScottB
rdiam posted: 9. The 20% plus takeout in...

rdiam posted:

9. The 20% plus takeout in horse racing is a HUGE nut to overcome.

The only time the track takeout is a problem is on bets where you can't see the payout in advance.

On win...
Forum: General Discussion 12-29-2020, 08:59 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 1,862
Posted By ScottB
Ray Taulbot figured $15 per $100. So with a $500...

Ray Taulbot figured $15 per $100. So with a $500 bankroll he figured to shoot for a daily profit of $75.

Taulbot also added that it might be wise to select an even more moderate daily profit...
Forum: General Discussion 12-26-2020, 06:22 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 1,862
Posted By ScottB
Daily Profit Objective Per Amount of Bankroll

How much of a daily profit should a handicapper expect to make with a $500 bankroll ?

That is a major problem, handicappers try to win too much per day based on their bankrolls.
Forum: General Discussion 12-26-2020, 04:35 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 4,000
Posted By ScottB
Handicapping for the Winner

Mitch44 wrote, "My approach is and always has been to bet the best horse and with that approach I could care less whether its the favorite or goes off at 100 to 1. If you want to know about the...
Forum: General Discussion 11-12-2020, 08:19 AM
Replies: 1
Views: 2,075
Posted By ScottB
Maximum Security

What were the owners of Maximum Security thinking when they turned their horse over to Bob Baffert to train?

Did they really think Baffert would train Maximum Security to interfere with his ...
Forum: General Discussion 10-27-2020, 11:13 AM
Replies: 25
Views: 9,988
Posted By ScottB
Sounds like a very haphazard method.

Sounds like a very haphazard method.
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