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Search: Posts Made By: Mitch44
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 06-16-2019, 11:34 AM
Replies: 36
Views: 1,384
Posted By Mitch44
FU # 47: Sartin states that; "As a...

FU # 47:


Sartin states that; "As a concept Modeling is still quite valid." However far too many turned it into an Early or Late dichotomy. They watch a race where a horse goes wire to wire and...
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 06-15-2019, 07:34 PM
Replies: 36
Views: 1,384
Posted By Mitch44
This is another area(BL at finish)in which you...

This is another area(BL at finish)in which you must apply a consistent procedure in order to get consistent results. I favor the Preceptor over close calls or doubtful lines. Its also very easy to...
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 06-15-2019, 07:10 PM
Replies: 36
Views: 1,384
Posted By Mitch44
Correct Bob, In feet per second the time...

Correct Bob,


In feet per second the time and beaten lengths are what is important. Not finish position. A horse could finish 2nd and not meet Sartin's guidelines. At some point in the stretch...
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 06-15-2019, 11:00 AM
Replies: 36
Views: 1,384
Posted By Mitch44
If you haven't done a complete race by hand using...

If you haven't done a complete race by hand using just a calculator you can't appreciate all the math involved of doing just Phase 3. And with that many calculations involved its very often is...
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 06-14-2019, 10:39 AM
Replies: 36
Views: 1,384
Posted By Mitch44
Sorry for not posting, I've been away the last...

Sorry for not posting, I've been away the last week.

In my last post we talked about adjustment and in Follow Up # 46 Sartin stated they were already in the process of creating adjustments that...
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 06-07-2019, 03:11 PM
Replies: 36
Views: 1,384
Posted By Mitch44
FU #46 Adjustments-Part 2 pg.7 " I stress...

FU #46 Adjustments-Part 2
pg.7 " I stress currently because we are in the process of producing an even superior procedure.

In other words they were constantly evolving to make a better mouse...
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 06-07-2019, 06:11 AM
Replies: 36
Views: 1,384
Posted By Mitch44
FU # 45 Adjustments- Part One: pg. 14 "Each...

FU # 45 Adjustments- Part One:
pg. 14 "Each procedure (adjusting for variants etc.)had its imperfections, however, so in 1984 we conceived the dream race pars as a means of making adjustments.
...
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 06-06-2019, 12:19 PM
Replies: 36
Views: 1,384
Posted By Mitch44
I forgot to mention that the Bris track summary...

I forgot to mention that the Bris track summary for each race gives you the Beaten lengths for winners at the 1st and SC call for each race. This is a real time saver and an aide in the decision...
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 06-06-2019, 07:47 AM
Replies: 36
Views: 1,384
Posted By Mitch44
In FU # 44 I didn't mention the Brohamer model or...

In FU # 44 I didn't mention the Brohamer model or a track profile. I believe that they are still valid concepts today.

Sartin " This was all very well and good and mathematically sound.HOWEVER,...
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 06-06-2019, 06:57 AM
Replies: 36
Views: 1,384
Posted By Mitch44
Hello Bill, I said in my introduction...

Hello Bill,


I said in my introduction that "The material is overwhelmingly pertinent today and insightful. Not all will agree with the master but a handicapper must take advantage of every...
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 06-06-2019, 06:30 AM
Replies: 36
Views: 1,384
Posted By Mitch44
Yes Lefty that was a very good analogy. Hopefully...

Yes Lefty that was a very good analogy. Hopefully everyone can jazz it up and become better.


Mitch44
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 06-05-2019, 08:51 PM
Replies: 36
Views: 1,384
Posted By Mitch44
Hello Bill, I'm afraid my friend your...

Hello Bill,


I'm afraid my friend your missing my main points here. I'm providing information and material many may not be aware of because its not on the recommended reading list or they may not...
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 06-05-2019, 07:32 PM
Replies: 36
Views: 1,384
Posted By Mitch44
FU # 44: pg.19 "In our more advanced programs...

FU # 44:
pg.19 "In our more advanced programs we altered the value of a beaten length to one foot per length per 1/16th of a mile of fractional distance. This produced figures that proved to be more...
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 06-05-2019, 10:14 AM
Replies: 36
Views: 1,384
Posted By Mitch44
FU # 43 key points,facts or statements,...

FU # 43 key points,facts or statements, takeaway's:

pg. 38 " TPR, is still Phase I and,while it's a better handicapping tool than those popular Pace/Speed Figures, its predictive value is quite...
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 06-04-2019, 07:02 AM
Replies: 36
Views: 1,384
Posted By Mitch44
Very much so Chuck. There is the danger of...

Very much so Chuck. There is the danger of somethings not current within them which is why the recommended reading list is the later ones, say #70 and later. The later ones also contain information...
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 06-03-2019, 04:29 PM
Replies: 36
Views: 1,384
Posted By Mitch44
Lots of good stuff in there Bill. Hope your well...

Lots of good stuff in there Bill. Hope your well my friend.


Mitch44
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 06-03-2019, 12:03 PM
Replies: 36
Views: 1,384
Posted By Mitch44
Beginners and Refresher Course

I recommend that the series; " Once again from the top." by Sartin be read.

The master address's many questions frequently asked and will even enlighten those that have been around for years. The...
Forum: Pace Makes the Race / TPR 06-01-2019, 07:34 AM
Replies: 27
Views: 943
Posted By Mitch44
# 3 Zusha a proven router presses the 1 hard all...

# 3 Zusha a proven router presses the 1 hard all the way to take over in the stretch for the win. His last at 6.5 after a layoff used to sharpen speed and prep for today. Line one of fulcrum just not...
Forum: Pace Makes the Race / TPR 05-29-2019, 11:50 AM
Replies: 26
Views: 959
Posted By Mitch44
Lefty you're exactly correct;"More than one way...

Lefty you're exactly correct;"More than one way to skin the pari-mutuel cat."

The yin and yang or back and forth is to better inform those unaware, both newbies and old heads, of workings within...
Forum: Pace Makes the Race / TPR 05-28-2019, 06:12 AM
Replies: 27
Views: 943
Posted By Mitch44
Glad you had a good day Bill and glad they had no...

Glad you had a good day Bill and glad they had no accidents. They really went heavy on Gift Box out there and Vino Rossi paid a good price. I think he was rushed as a 3 yr. old and we'll hear from...
Forum: Pace Makes the Race / TPR 05-27-2019, 08:51 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 943
Posted By Mitch44
Well the longshot in the 9th blew my P-4 but I...

Well the longshot in the 9th blew my P-4 but I made up for it in the nightcap.


COMPLETED: 0d6c3-68ea6 ...
Forum: Pace Makes the Race / TPR 05-27-2019, 07:56 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 943
Posted By Mitch44
I just pick them and can't control what they pay...

I just pick them and can't control what they pay etc.


COMPLETED: ec5d4-a688b ...
Forum: Pace Makes the Race / TPR 05-27-2019, 07:01 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 943
Posted By Mitch44
Not my normal stuff as I'm working doing...

Not my normal stuff as I'm working doing basically match up picks. I played the 4 & 6 in your key race. # 4 wins and alive for P-3 & P4 while just playing around. Most these races appear pretty...
Forum: Pace Makes the Race / TPR 05-27-2019, 04:59 PM
Replies: 26
Views: 959
Posted By Mitch44
Good luck at SA and with your P-3's Bill. ...

Good luck at SA and with your P-3's Bill.

Stopping and starting at the SC? I've watched many races and yet to see that one.

The horse that has the lead at the 1stCall may not be the same horse...
Forum: Pace Makes the Race / TPR 05-27-2019, 02:33 PM
Replies: 26
Views: 959
Posted By Mitch44
Bill as long as the closed minded remain so, they...

Bill as long as the closed minded remain so, they will remain blind to success.

At the 1990 seminar at Saratoga the specific question was asked about the Fulcrum to which Bradshaw replied he...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 500

 
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