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Search: Posts Made By: Mitch44
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 08-25-2021, 10:03 AM
Replies: 54
Views: 32,280
Posted By Mitch44
Mike I wish you great success in the future. ...

Mike I wish you great success in the future.

Keep in mind that discipline and money management are also key components to success.
Only increase wagers with profits and bet within your comfort...
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 08-24-2021, 09:54 AM
Replies: 54
Views: 32,280
Posted By Mitch44
I'm sure it would work from the program but a...

I'm sure it would work from the program but a more accurate approach would be to take it from result charts. Than see which of the contenders or RDSS readouts come close to the parameters from the...
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 08-21-2021, 12:30 PM
Replies: 54
Views: 32,280
Posted By Mitch44
I am Mike,thanks. Mitch44

I am Mike,thanks.

Mitch44
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 08-21-2021, 10:29 AM
Replies: 54
Views: 32,280
Posted By Mitch44
Just for clarity my recommendations have always...

Just for clarity my recommendations have always been to use 50% of variant. This also is a Sartin guideline. I've never said use 100%. Its a user prerogative and like Sartin said; "Given a chance to...
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 08-21-2021, 09:33 AM
Replies: 54
Views: 32,280
Posted By Mitch44
WOW!!! Ray I new it was high but not that high....

WOW!!! Ray I new it was high but not that high. The costs have really gone up. Another reason why I guess we have all these short fields, most owners can't afford it as not many horses can win that...
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 08-20-2021, 11:21 AM
Replies: 54
Views: 32,280
Posted By Mitch44
It's not unusual to find horses with mixed...

It's not unusual to find horses with mixed distances or surfaces. Many times their forced to run at inappropriate dis.'s and surfaces, even class for that matter because the way the Racing Secretary...
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 08-20-2021, 10:18 AM
Replies: 54
Views: 32,280
Posted By Mitch44
Busy day yesterday with 2 Dr. apt., haircut etc. ...

Busy day yesterday with 2 Dr. apt., haircut etc.
I've had a chance to look at your screen shot Bill.

This horse likes the lead, and is best suited to 6 F distances, has lost 3 races at 6.5 and...
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 08-19-2021, 12:07 PM
Replies: 54
Views: 32,280
Posted By Mitch44
Richie is correct about the variant effecting the...

Richie is correct about the variant effecting the CSR. The amount of variant or size from a zero base will determine any effect. Obviously the larger the variant the more effect. What tracks you play...
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 08-18-2021, 02:34 PM
Replies: 54
Views: 32,280
Posted By Mitch44
Bob, Any variant below -15 and above + 15 is...

Bob,

Any variant below -15 and above + 15 is abnormal. When a variant falls outside this range the accuracy of it comes into question. Lets say a variant is +20, well is it that or a +21 or +25?...
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 08-18-2021, 01:51 PM
Replies: 54
Views: 32,280
Posted By Mitch44
Every horse has a best distance. Just because a...

Every horse has a best distance. Just because a horse finishes in the money does not mean that's its best distance. Even trainers are fooled by this and don't adjust. Part of this has to do with the...
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 08-18-2021, 09:35 AM
Replies: 54
Views: 32,280
Posted By Mitch44
Once you get below -15 or above +15 your out of...

Once you get below -15 or above +15 your out of what is a normal variant normal. Once I select all of my lines I then review the variants and create a new norm by seeing what the average is for my...
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 08-17-2021, 04:56 PM
Replies: 54
Views: 32,280
Posted By Mitch44
Many years ago Tom Brohamer used 5 lengths behind...

Many years ago Tom Brohamer used 5 lengths behind for the Second Call, its a great down and dirty approximation. It can be improved on with a current track profile which would eliminate more horses...
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