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Search: Posts Made By: Tim Y
Forum: Selections 05-20-2022, 05:56 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 210
Posted By Tim Y
10 was a bit flat late, but got up to place, 5...

10 was a bit flat late, but got up to place, 5 was eased late, 12 ran 4th or 5th..o.o.f. 9 10 11 1
Forum: Selections 05-20-2022, 05:29 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 210
Posted By Tim Y
track has run early all card, so will have to...

track has run early all card, so will have to just watch this one
Forum: Selections 05-20-2022, 05:25 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 210
Posted By Tim Y
Black Eyed Susan..

Very hard to beat the 10..

10 5 6 go out then 13 12 chase much later
Forum: General Discussion 05-20-2022, 10:18 AM
Replies: 8
Views: 340
Posted By Tim Y
That is a typo....SAVE too many factors

That is a typo....SAVE too many factors
Forum: Selections 05-19-2022, 07:29 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 210
Posted By Tim Y
Started as The Dinner Party Stakes in 1870....

Started as The Dinner Party Stakes in 1870. Winner THERE was Preakness owned by
Milton Sanford. The colt was named after his farms in Kentucky and New Jersey. Preakness is derived from the language...
Forum: General Discussion 05-19-2022, 04:21 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 340
Posted By Tim Y
I often go back , way back, to notebooks from...

I often go back , way back, to notebooks from 2014-16 and find, NOW after reviewing, I saved too many factors. The reviews pinpoint those less predictive. Also TURF records are not as predictive when...
Forum: General Discussion 05-19-2022, 03:20 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 340
Posted By Tim Y
total frustration and long term lost $$$$ meets...

total frustration and long term lost $$$$ meets the person who does NOT keep good records of BOTH evaluation of contenders AND wagering
Forum: Selections 05-19-2022, 02:56 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 210
Posted By Tim Y
First time though 8 5 4 fairly stand out in this...

First time though 8 5 4 fairly stand out in this edition of the Preakness
Forum: Selections 05-19-2022, 02:44 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 210
Posted By Tim Y
Preakness musings

I seem to recall that Howard Sartin suggested repeatedly NOT to use a colts' KD line in evaluation of races beyond Louisville as it was too much of an outlier. Anyone else recall that??
Forum: General Discussion 05-07-2022, 07:12 PM
Replies: 47
Views: 2,662
Posted By Tim Y
SEASONING...the old Sartin group dropped Tapit...

SEASONING...the old Sartin group dropped Tapit back when due to lack of seasoning, and history repeats itssel. In the post parade, Taiba was jumping all over the place STARTING to get fractious...Did...
Forum: General Discussion 05-06-2022, 07:05 PM
Replies: 47
Views: 2,662
Posted By Tim Y
SHhip then to the USA WELL IN ADVANCE of the big...

SHhip then to the USA WELL IN ADVANCE of the big race (maybe even run thm in one of the last Derby preps IWTH a North American rider) and let them acclimate to the area.

I think the major problem...
Forum: General Discussion 05-06-2022, 03:11 PM
Replies: 47
Views: 2,662
Posted By Tim Y
Before pace evaluations came out,THAT one was my...

Before pace evaluations came out,THAT one was my top slection too
Forum: General Discussion 05-06-2022, 01:16 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 519
Posted By Tim Y
Realistically MOST of us do not have the adequate...

Realistically MOST of us do not have the adequate bankroll to cover this race adeqquately...NONE of these animals have gone 10 panel (and will ever again , especially under 126 lbs), TWO we know...
Forum: General Discussion 05-06-2022, 01:12 AM
Replies: 47
Views: 2,662
Posted By Tim Y
Don't most animals attain almost full velocity in...

Don't most animals attain almost full velocity in about three strides or so? That tiny difference would be neglible.
Forum: General Discussion 05-06-2022, 01:10 AM
Replies: 47
Views: 2,662
Posted By Tim Y
We watched in near disbelief as a Japanese horse...

We watched in near disbelief as a Japanese horse FINALLY broke through at Del mar in November in the Breeder's Cup...Thank the Japanese for supporting out racing
Forum: General Discussion 05-06-2022, 01:07 AM
Replies: 47
Views: 2,662
Posted By Tim Y
Wagering wise, a great opinion

Wagering wise, a great opinion
Forum: General Discussion 05-06-2022, 12:56 AM
Replies: 47
Views: 2,662
Posted By Tim Y
Over the years, using Speculator and Energy...

Over the years, using Speculator and Energy allowed for simple disqualifaction rules for the Derby that held up well. Increasing, or reaching a total energy of around 165 or higher, Stable % median...
Forum: General Discussion 04-28-2022, 04:57 PM
Replies: 47
Views: 2,662
Posted By Tim Y
When he data is available I will give my 2 cents...

When he data is available I will give my 2 cents worth: top few stand out based upon OBSERVATION of the final trips but that can be very misleading
Forum: General Discussion 03-08-2022, 08:15 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 1,655
Posted By Tim Y
First time I went to a simulcast venue (when I...

First time I went to a simulcast venue (when I was suffering under the delusion that MY evaluation of horseflesh overwhelmed OBJECTIVE pace ratings and their interactions) I complained that any view...
Forum: Selections 03-05-2022, 03:10 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 304
Posted By Tim Y
GP 10th. not high confidence 3 1 4 go out then 6...

GP 10th. not high confidence 3 1 4 go out then 6 5 chase later
Fountian of Youth: 7 2 4 go out thn 6 5 chase later
Forum: General Discussion 03-05-2022, 02:43 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 568
Posted By Tim Y
The recent 3 y/o prep for the Arkansas Derby...

The recent 3 y/o prep for the Arkansas Derby (Rebel) was a classic HAOS. Not a single colt was IMPROVING FORM wise and most were declining (not a lot) but declining.

Anoher example is the racw...
Forum: General Discussion 03-03-2022, 05:40 PM
Replies: 0
Views: 414
Posted By Tim Y
How We Decide, by Jonah Lehrer

2009, Hayton Millipin and Harcourt New York.

The way we come to decisions will amaze you as the path to that point can be augmented, or minmized by so many biases that it is wise to understand how...
Forum: General Discussion 03-03-2022, 10:49 AM
Replies: 16
Views: 1,655
Posted By Tim Y
At a simulcast or on line wagering site, THAT...

At a simulcast or on line wagering site, THAT would be impossible to do
Forum: General Discussion 03-03-2022, 12:55 AM
Replies: 16
Views: 1,655
Posted By Tim Y
I recall a famous and salient statement by the...

I recall a famous and salient statement by the charcater of Hanniball Lecter in the movie Silence of the Lams where he is talking to Jody Foster, the rookie FBI trainee. In tlaking about things in...
Forum: General Discussion 03-02-2022, 06:35 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 1,655
Posted By Tim Y
Bonnie Ledbetter: 1) Spotting the Sore and Unfit...

Bonnie Ledbetter: 1) Spotting the Sore and Unfit horse, 2) The Body Languarge of Horses
Showing results 1 to 25 of 500

 
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