Thread: Route lines
View Single Post
Old 06-04-2015, 02:44 PM   #2
Bill Lyster
Grade 1
 
Bill Lyster's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar"
Posts: 2,509
I use them only when nothing else makes sense. If the horse has sprint lines, note running style. will the best sprint be competitive in today's race? If not its probably a toss. Be aware of one turn routes where most of the race is run on a straightaway. Usually the fractions in these one turn miles should not be adjusted per the Methodology guidelines.

The methodology guidelines usually want the early fraction in the route after adjustments, if required, to be higher by about 3 EP points than the rest of the field. This might get moderated a little bit, if the running style of the horse is opposite of what the race shape is today.

If you find that the route TPR is greater than the sprinters in the field the horse is probably good enuf to keep in the field of contenders. Remember early sprinters usually cancel out early routers that are truly early and set up for an OTE finish.
Bill Lyster is offline   Reply With Quote