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Saratoga Stats
After three weeks of the meet some trends are developing. As part of my handicapping, I keep a database of all the non-maiden races. I use paceline selection of the best perceptor of the last three in most cases. I only change that when the best preceptor is not in the last three races and then I use the best adjusted speed rating. So far, for all distances, the top 3 v/dc and ties win 67% of all races. The top 5 fx horses have won 80% of all nonmaiden races regardless of distance. The only exception to that is 8.5f on the turf where fw is a slightly better indicator but probably not enough to make much of a difference of just using top 5 fx for all races.
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