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I would not bet # 5 and would stick to my top contenders. Except for the #2 all these trainers seem capable. I have no idea what their stats are for and if overall they do not give a clear picture. This a turf race and I have no idea how they earned their % & rankings. Did they earn it on turf or Dirt?
All these fun bets over time add up and unless you track them you may be surprised at their cost.
I would not go beyond my contenders. Obviously you doubt their rankings.The best trainer in the world can't get a win out of a horse that has no possibly. And the worse trainer can win if he has the horse.
A reason to take a shot on a horse has to make sound sense and this situation doesn't warrant it. Perhaps if the horse won its last race big and improved big such as from a switch to turf, would be a better example and his pace figures rank there with the completion. In that situation who knows what this horses top might be, And he better have some good odds to win stepping up in class etc.
Now to separate those top contenders requires using other tools such as NTL who won't get it etc. Mowens33 is correct in that many horses prefer certain tracks and refuse to run overs others etc. Every horse has a best distance, favorite surface etc. Its up to us the player to analyze and determine if the horse meets todays conditions ,competition and is properly placed. Our outside look into the horse is unbiased and is in many cases better than the trainers, even high % trainers.
Mitch44
Last edited by Mitch44; 03-27-2016 at 09:03 PM.
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