[gl45]

TP,
yes I won the race but I lost 3 races for the day , I was 1 for 3, still made a little profit,
I think this race represent what I wrote long time ago on this forum:

Usually the best line in the horse past performance is the line that also have the highest speed rating, or some other combos of best factors. Is how the horse performed in that race that counts the most. The last 2 or 3 races are only indicative of the horse form. Is the horse coming to hand or losing his form. What effect last race had on the horse, was a taxing effort or a conditioning race. If it was a hard race, maybe the horse will not perform today, if it was a conditioning race, maybe that is all the horse need, to win today. Interpreting pace lines require going back to the past performance and find the factors that were missed which would have made the horse in question a contender, or for that matter, a winner.
Some handicappers follow strict rules, lets bend them a bit and give yourself a chance to win few more races.

Again, I wrote on this forum the following:

No rules. If you select the best of the last 3 or 4 races, doesn't tell me nothing if the horse has the best race in line 10, run 7 months ago. That is my line. It took me quite a while understanding this concept.

I lost race #4 by 1/2 length, is also a good race to analyze.

GL