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Mark I see that seem to downplay the 3rd fraction. As Jimmy use to tell me Tim they don't pay for whose in front at the 2nd call. Also he devoted a chapter in his book to balancing the 3rd fraction. I model all the tracks I play and note that many turf races are won by horses with strong 3rd fractions. Also at a track like MVR most races at all distances are won by off the pace horses with good 3rd fractions. Yes I do know how much of a race is run by the 2nd call at each dist. but I also know the minimum 3rd fraction needed to win at that dist at that track. I will agree that earlier running horses have a leg up but believe that the 3rd fraction must still be checked.
Tim
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