View Single Post
Old 04-25-2016, 12:34 PM   #39
Bill V.
The egg man
 
Bill V.'s Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
Esp

In phase 1 it is so important to properly identify the early runners , if one early has a advantage over the field all the other early runners now are early pressers.
And pressers, if they are need the lead early now they are out.
Now look at the EPR ratings .Can the fast Early go wire to wire? How do you know ? Look at its LPR
Is it.equal or near the pressers lot. if so it can go wire to wire.
Based on the tpr leaders ,
Early , Early Pressers and Pressers with close enough EPR
ratings are much better bets than sustained. runners.
It is very important to ask this about sustained horses.
How far back will they be in today's race ?
Every point of EPR equals 1 beaten length,
So a sustained horse better be close to the top EPR horses. In both lengths and position , Is your sustained horse just too slow to win against today's expected EPR..
Bill
Bill V. is offline   Reply With Quote