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Originally Posted by Drew42e
Just found this site and methodology yesterday (and registered) so trying to get my brain around it, and the info and the software, but I am appreciative of your analysis here if only to get an understanding of your philosophy which brings me to a question. I understand the Doc philosophy of betting top 2 horses, but would that still hold with one of them at 4/5 like this most recent race?
Thanks and i'm excited to learn from everyone here.
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Hi Drew, welcome to the neighbourhood!
I try not to be dogmatic about 2 horse wagering
I try to make money, not pick horses. I would have liked to single one of the Top 2 horses in the 6th race, but I could not separate them except on Odds. Thus, the hedge strategy (as odds dropped on the #2, I would have had to pay a bit of 'insurance' if the #2 had won).
But the hedge worked anyway: consider $50 bet on BOTH #1 and #2 (the 'equal units' referred to). $100 bet, $165 returned on the #1, or - $90 returned ($3.80) if the #2 won, or an insurance cost of $10 or 10%. It depends on a fairly good hit rate to take combo wagers of that low odds.
I'm just trying to see how effective a semi-automated method is. If you are looking in on things to learn more about the Sartin Methodology in action, there are a WHOLE lot more ways of approaching analysis and wagering than presented here. Consider this thread as an experiment, if you will. Hopefully lots of other analysis today elsewhere, or for tomorrow.
Good luck!
Ted