Quote:
Originally Posted by ClockerDan
You guys don't think Bobby B will have this collected horse amped up and Uncle Lino ran a 1:40 last out faster than Nyquist and Exaggerator by 3-4 second which equals 5-6 lengths I believe. Thanks guys appreciate your opinions
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Just a suggestion:
BE CAREFUL of any assumptions of track speed:
One of the tenets of the Methodology:
KNOW THY TRACK
Basically, Los Alamitos will produce faster times at the distance of mile and 1/16th than times at Santa Anita because of the longer "run-up distance" before the tele-timer starts.
At Los Alamitos: 104 feet before tele-timer starts
At Santa Anita: 70 feet before tele-timer starts
Secondly, the final time is a dependent function of the early pace exertion.
Uncle Lino walked on the early pace in the California Chrome stakes race at Los Alamitos. Uncle Lino may be a contender, but one should consider if Uncle Lino will get away with soft early pace fractions in the next race.
Here is an example race at Santa Anita at the same distance.
