View Single Post
Old 06-21-2016, 09:57 PM   #10
Hoof 11
Grade 1
 
Hoof 11's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2011
Location: Woodbine
Posts: 761
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rivegauche610

So now comes the audience participation portion. Looking at RDSS' choice of pacelines vs. mine, does anyone have anything they can tell me that might better inform the decision making process?
Kevin

I have to disagree with some of your paceline selections.

Projected Pace – 23 – 46

1 – You selected the 2nd line, the track was playing fast that day and you won’t get that bias today. Avoid lines with negative DTV’s, you won’t see those again until the temperature drops below zero. This horse needs a fast track to win.

3 – You selected the 2nd line, this is not the horses preferred running style nor does it match the projected pace scenario. The first line is not useable being a Turf line, so you have to look elsewhere. The 2nd and 3rd lines have a second call of 44 and change and you won’t see those fractions today, nor will you see a fast 3rd call, those lines are not useable in my opinion. The 4th line is the only option.

4 – This horse is due for an effort and does it’s best running late, with Moran aboard i believe that is exactly what you will get. Might not have enough to overcome but old Daveyboy is good at producing the unexpected.

6 – Toss

Contenders – 3-5-7
Attached Images
 
Hoof 11 is offline   Reply With Quote