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Fplr
My understanding is that the horse that ran in the last race with the fastest early pace should have a competitive finish. Maybe not a close up finish but not beaten say more than 5 lengths. When pressed about this Richie P would always defer to "everyone sees things differently" and said that experience would teach us.
When you are sure you have a horse like this, you can then attempt to make him as fast as possible as in combine pacelines etc. Then try to beat him. If you can, throw him out if not, that is your bet.
I've had a difficult time putting this into operation. Because as Jim did it and I think Richie too, it was mentally because you can't do it in RDSS. The best i have been able to do is take two pacelines, usually a fast 1st and second fraction and then find a good final fraction and sort of eyeball it.
Hope that helps!
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