Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

Mark · 08-08-2016, 06:50 PM

Bill,
I watch a lot of SF Giant games on my computer living here in Hemet. The announcers are very knowledgable as both are former Major league veterans. Kiuper played I think 15 years and Krukow, won 20 games one year for the Giants. He talks about umpires and gives a profile on today's homeplate umpire. He often describes an umpire as "looking for strikes" That usually means a good day for the pitchers as they get a little width on the plate.
I fall into that category. I look for reasons to consider a horse.
When I look at the #2 horse, it seems to me that it is a classic case of mismanagement. They ran this horse all over the place, at different class levels, surfaces, distances. And then the substantial layoff. I am different than most posters here in that I believe a good long time at the farm is GOOD. The horse gets to be a horse again and frolic around the paddock and associate with other horses. Mentally they get right! So this mare comes back off the layoff and runs her best race in forever. They fixed whatever problem she had. And then they jog her around the track about every 20 days and give her a hot work, And just as important if you compare that 3rd line with against the other horses' last line, she comes up very strong.
I didn't see this race or bet it but I am in complete agreement with Richie. At 50/1 you just can't ignore this horse. She fits the variegation. She has a competitive race in the last 3 off a 223 day layoff.
I have always forged my own path in my life. I listen and read and if it works that becomes part of my tool bag. If it doesn't, NEXT!

08-08-2016, 06:50 PM	#20
Mark Grade 1 Join Date: Jan 2013 Posts: 318	Looking for strikes Bill, I watch a lot of SF Giant games on my computer living here in Hemet. The announcers are very knowledgable as both are former Major league veterans. Kiuper played I think 15 years and Krukow, won 20 games one year for the Giants. He talks about umpires and gives a profile on today's homeplate umpire. He often describes an umpire as "looking for strikes" That usually means a good day for the pitchers as they get a little width on the plate. I fall into that category. I look for reasons to consider a horse. When I look at the #2 horse, it seems to me that it is a classic case of mismanagement. They ran this horse all over the place, at different class levels, surfaces, distances. And then the substantial layoff. I am different than most posters here in that I believe a good long time at the farm is GOOD. The horse gets to be a horse again and frolic around the paddock and associate with other horses. Mentally they get right! So this mare comes back off the layoff and runs her best race in forever. They fixed whatever problem she had. And then they jog her around the track about every 20 days and give her a hot work, And just as important if you compare that 3rd line with against the other horses' last line, she comes up very strong. I didn't see this race or bet it but I am in complete agreement with Richie. At 50/1 you just can't ignore this horse. She fits the variegation. She has a competitive race in the last 3 off a 223 day layoff. I have always forged my own path in my life. I listen and read and if it works that becomes part of my tool bag. If it doesn't, NEXT!