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Old 08-14-2016, 07:53 PM   #8
Mitch44
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: The Villages, Fl.
Posts: 3,872
Thoughts: Lots of unknown factors, actually too many for serious $ reduce bets and sets up for SP or S, demand price to compensate for unk. factors.

#3 & 9 are both stretching out with the #9 the best of the two & they can rate however I
think in this field they'll have too much to overcome and make them both non-contenders-toss
the #2 seems to run a good race bad race- toss non contender
# 4 only two US starts & two Lasix contender, L1
# 5 contender L4
# 6 contender cuts back in dis. helpful, L 4
# 7 contender last best & on improve L 1
# 8 1st time Gelding unknown factor, probably a NTL which may get it but will be caught at some point in race non-contender toss
# 10 last was best, has to prove can run two big in a row- contender L1
# 11 NTL & won't get it non-contender toss
# 12 switches back to turf, improving horse, B off, contender L 3
A lot of speed with several NTL in here which sets it up for a off the pace horse. I'll go with the 6 & 12 to upset the 7,10 & 5

Also need a price here to compensate for the wide open affair and should get it with the 6 & 12.ex. 6& 12 over the 7&5 , 5 & 7 over 6 & 12 No P3 as 7th race is another tough race with little insight, DD 5th race 2 & 4 with 6 12 & 7
Good skill,
Mitch44

Last edited by Mitch44; 08-14-2016 at 08:01 PM.
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