I handicapped this race in accordance with the teachings of Jim Bradshaw as I understand them. That knowledge or lack thereof is implemented with RDSS2 as best as I know how. I have chosen POWER LINES for each horse and if they preceded a long layoff and the horse appears to have declined I used a more recent line.
my initial eliminations are as follow:
As I have variegated the race OTE I am eliminating the #5 and #12. The #9 has been off for 365 days. The #11 has one race off a 288 day layoff and in my experience I want at least two.
The #6 is a Presser and has never not won a race showing in his pps on the lead. "The Hat" cautioned about these kinds of horses that find themselves on the lead for the first time. They run off. So I am eliminating him from win consideration.
The #1 is an SP he appears to be lying 3rd at the first call and his pps show that he has never won from this position previously. He is eliminated from win consideration.
The #8 is a Presser and he appears to be lying 4th at the 1st call and will be out of position. He is eliminated from win consideration.
The #10 has run very close from the 6th position against a similar pace that i have projected. He is my horse.
Implementing the Match Up via RDSS2 has been an evolving process. How do you pick minimally adjusted POWER LINES? Can you trust the Segment screen 1st Call positions that result? All I know is what I find in handicapping races and yesterday this method resulted in a $71.00 winner. Whether that was just coincidence or whether I am on to something, time will tell!