Thread: CT 4th Sunday
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Old 07-26-2006, 11:01 AM   #10
RichieP
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,019
E:
2 - only 2 wins showing were blowouts. hate that but thats all to go by. looking away from Ct lines to more conventional layout ( Pim,Lrl etc) because the other E-Ep ( # 6) is coming from Mnr and we need to compare a bit.

lets combine 2 lines of the 2 horse ( lines 3 and 5) to get:
1c - 22.4 -line 5
2c - 46.4 -line 3
ft - 106.2 -line 3 -lets add 6.2 to get a 6f time of 112.4

so we have for the 2
1c- 22.4
2c -46.4
ft - 112.4

lets compare to the # 6 horse line 2.
1c - 22.2
2c - 46.0
ft - 112.1

the 6 kills off the 2 and especially since the 6 does NOT have to have the lead to win the 2 is history.

so projecting pace off the # 6 - 22-46.0-112.1

select reasonable pacelines for the others ELIMINATING the 2 horse as dead meat.

the 1 u can enter 2 lines - line 3 from Ct and line 7 from Pen

the 3 has no line

the 4 you can use last line from Ct as it matches 2c pace. if u want u can forgive the slower 1c cause its a bull ring going round 2 turns

the 5 has only last line usable

the 6 we already have as line 2

the 7 line 4 is ok to use

the 8 last 3 races in a row show the horse out of form witht eh 3rd back against MUCH slower 1c-2c than he sees today.

if u use software here are the lines I mentioned as usable on "160".

pretty straightforward I guess

my feedback on the race
Rich
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