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Another 3 yr. old race with many unknown factors. I usually don’t play 3 yr. olds until the middle of August or so, until than their like playing maiden races. With that said this race will be a small action bet and I looked at this a little more that the Belmont. Still a race as you can make a case for several in here.
# 1 is a NTL horse that I believe won’t get it and if she does somewhere she’ll get passed and fold. The # 5 can run her into defeat. Threw it out as a non-contender.
# 5 This horse won’t come up in any RDSS reading because of such a poor 3rd FR. That bad 3rd FR destroys many readouts such as HE, FX, FW, Tot. Energy, V/DC etc. The question becomes did he only do what he had to in order to win or was he all out? Only the jock and trainer knows. At a 3-1 M/L he’s not worth the risk to find out and even if he wasn’t all out he has to go further today. One plus is he can rate, he be a keeper for exotics bet which in this race is even more risky. Tossed if he beats me he’ll have to prove it.
# 7 another unknown. Won last and only two starts and 2nd Lasix, could be anything at 20-1 M/l which will probably go up if you like him
# 11 most likely bled in last and gets Lasix today, great work out. Beat a good field in next to last. Good odds for the risk at 12-1 ML. An unknown factor.
# 12 last was best and had trouble, good trainer and sharp work out. Only 2 starts this year and improved. Another unknown factor.
Contenders are: # 9 L1, # 2 L 1, # 8 L 1, # 4 L 3, # 12 L 1 The # 4 is as good as the #2 but is 20-1 verses 4.5 odds. Also # 2 figures to be bet down.
# 9 figures to get better as distance increases and has the future to be a champion. Runs like
Order 9-8-4-2-12. The bet: $6 # 9, $ 3 # 8, $2 #’s 4, 11, 7 In $15
Mitch44
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