Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

Mitch44 · 09-05-2017, 10:23 AM

Del Mar summary
Bill V., thanks for your challenge of the Del Mar race of the day handicapping challenge, as it definitely sharpen my skills. I accepted the challenge because in the future I’d like to enter some contests and in those you’re forced to play tough races of all kinds. For one it reinforced what I already knew which is this meet and SAR are the toughest there is to beat. The reason for that is they predominantly card races for very young horses where there is little information to determine the winner. Such as 2 yr. olds, MSW, many turf races that contains horses that are maidens on the turf etc. Even their stakes races contain horses with few starts with little to go on which are glorified Alw. Races. Races that are fraught with many unknown factors. For those that like big tracks stick to SA & BEL.

I did make a small profit and was wise enough to reduce my wagers to mostly fun bets. I tried to play every race as a challenge except when traveling. I ended playing 29 races with 14 winners in my top two for 48% and 18 in my top 3 for 62%. If prices were good I played some of those # 3's . Not stellar numbers IMO but put in context of the difficulty I’d say pretty decent. I would also say that perhaps 5 of these were actually playable. Doc Sartin’s old adage of never playing a race with 2 or more unknown factors in it is reaffirmed and still rings true today after many years. If you dare to succeed burn that one into your brain housing. Lt1 and I have used that for years and stay out of many unpredictable races, it reduces one’s extension thus saving valuable capital to be deployed more effectively. One never wants to run out of ammo.

Those that followed along even if they didn’t participate by posting and of course all that did post should have gained some valuable lessons and insights from this endeavor. Lots of insightful info in workups and post mortems. For me it’s time to get back to greener pastures where time spent can produce better results and of course some green $$$$$$$$$$$$. Again thanks Bill V. for all your hard work.
Mitch44
“Luck is preparation meeting destiny.”

09-05-2017, 10:23 AM	#1
Mitch44 Grade 1 Join Date: Nov 2014 Location: The Villages, Fl. Posts: 3,872	Del Mar summary. Del Mar summary Bill V., thanks for your challenge of the Del Mar race of the day handicapping challenge, as it definitely sharpen my skills. I accepted the challenge because in the future I’d like to enter some contests and in those you’re forced to play tough races of all kinds. For one it reinforced what I already knew which is this meet and SAR are the toughest there is to beat. The reason for that is they predominantly card races for very young horses where there is little information to determine the winner. Such as 2 yr. olds, MSW, many turf races that contains horses that are maidens on the turf etc. Even their stakes races contain horses with few starts with little to go on which are glorified Alw. Races. Races that are fraught with many unknown factors. For those that like big tracks stick to SA & BEL. I did make a small profit and was wise enough to reduce my wagers to mostly fun bets. I tried to play every race as a challenge except when traveling. I ended playing 29 races with 14 winners in my top two for 48% and 18 in my top 3 for 62%. If prices were good I played some of those # 3's . Not stellar numbers IMO but put in context of the difficulty I’d say pretty decent. I would also say that perhaps 5 of these were actually playable. Doc Sartin’s old adage of never playing a race with 2 or more unknown factors in it is reaffirmed and still rings true today after many years. If you dare to succeed burn that one into your brain housing. Lt1 and I have used that for years and stay out of many unpredictable races, it reduces one’s extension thus saving valuable capital to be deployed more effectively. One never wants to run out of ammo. Those that followed along even if they didn’t participate by posting and of course all that did post should have gained some valuable lessons and insights from this endeavor. Lots of insightful info in workups and post mortems. For me it’s time to get back to greener pastures where time spent can produce better results and of course some green $$$$$$$$$$$$. Again thanks Bill V. for all your hard work. Mitch44 “Luck is preparation meeting destiny.” Last edited by Mitch44; 09-05-2017 at 10:31 AM.