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Old 11-09-2017, 04:52 PM   #16
For The Lead
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Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 1,292
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill V. View Post
Here is a breakdown of which paceline of the last 3 my winners came from.
My sample is 542 races using the default settings and auto selecting the
best of the last 3 perceptor from RDSS2.1

I made absolutely zero changes to any paceline. These figures are
using RDSS in full automatic,

These 542 races are all distances, surfaces
track condition, and class. The lines selected can only be line 1,2 or 3
when using the auto selector.

I used races from from Aqueduct, Belmont, Churchill, Delaware, Del Mar Including the BC, FingerLakes, Golden Gate, Keeneland, Laurel, Medowlands
Mohegan Valley, Mountaineer, Portland Meadows, Parx, Turf Paradise,
Thistle Downs, Retimaand Woodbine.
Everything race type from bottom of the barrel Maiden Claimers
to the Breeders Cup classic.

My findings are in the spreadsheet attached

The #2 paceline produced a incredible average payoff of over $19.00

Line 1 had the most winners (257 ) and a average of $11.00

Line 3 had the fewest winners and the lowest average of $7.60

Attachment 44945

spreadsheet sample screen shot

Attachment 44944
Bill, let me see if I have this right.
From your 542 races, almost 50% of the winners came off the last line.
From your 542 races, almost 80% of the winners came off of lines 1 or 2.
From your 542 races, approximately 20% of the winners came off of line 3.

In addition to line 3 generating the fewest winners (by far), it also generated the lowest (by far) average mutual.

You used the RDSS program on full automatic, so you did not pick any of these pacelines yourself.

On that basis, is there a reason you would want to go past line 2?
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