Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

admin · 08-10-2006, 05:11 PM

Here is a work up from the
races that were sent to Doc

This was sent to me from Ted Cravin

You can check this yourself from the Summary, however a reporting of win percentage and average mutuel by tier seems inappropriate since the list was specifically cherry picked for $9.00+ mutuels in the first place! Further, the large mutuel from #11 (your $31.00), skews the tally. I would, however, expect that the win rate by tier should generally hold up over a larger sample, with Val2006 exceeding Val3c, and Spec160/RDSS at least matching Val2006.

Here are Tiers, Win% and Average Mutuel for each of Val3c, Val2006 and Spec160/RDSS respectively:
Tiers 1 and 2 and ties: 63% - $11.90 82% - $13.81 73% - $14.13
Tier 3: 18% - $13.40 18% - $14.40 18% - $14.00

08-10-2006, 05:11 PM	#3
admin Administrator Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 2,643	Work up Here is a work up from the races that were sent to Doc This was sent to me from Ted Cravin You can check this yourself from the Summary, however a reporting of win percentage and average mutuel by tier seems inappropriate since the list was specifically cherry picked for $9.00+ mutuels in the first place! Further, the large mutuel from #11 (your $31.00), skews the tally. I would, however, expect that the win rate by tier should generally hold up over a larger sample, with Val2006 exceeding Val3c, and Spec160/RDSS at least matching Val2006. Here are Tiers, Win% and Average Mutuel for each of Val3c, Val2006 and Spec160/RDSS respectively: Tiers 1 and 2 and ties: 63% - $11.90 82% - $13.81 73% - $14.13 Tier 3: 18% - $13.40 18% - $14.40 18% - $14.00 Last edited by admin; 08-10-2006 at 05:19 PM.