|
Jeeps: You have my pace line selection technique down pat. I have been using it for years so to speak but the Preceptor has honed it to a more efficient method, the reason is that sometimes we don't see visually into the line ( or internal moves) like Preceptor does.
I have been following Sartin's concept of selecting a line for years and have adapted to his evolution in doing so as he adapted. That means I don't religiously use the last line which is so 1986 or so with the original pace line manual.
His last recommendation on tape was to never to go back past line # 5 because the horse may not be the same horse. Also many years of research and thousands of selected lines showed the bulk to be within that parameter. Actually that research showed that the further back the fewer times a line is correct or in other words its closer to the top of the chart. The reason for that is the form factor which is greatly effected by recency or the horse may not be the same horse that ran that line.
There are exceptions to everything and if one can't grasp those exceptions than I highly recommended sticking to rules or Sartin teachings of never going past the 5th line. I could argue a last line and the horse may not be the same. We see this with cheap claimers a lot. They are unsound and can't run or put together two good races.
I access all horses best surface and distance and don't expect a horse to perform its best unless its entered under those conditions which is a huge reason I get away with it. And I have specific questions for layoffs to deal with that.
I don't advocate the Pizzolla two excuse method which is designed to get better prices as it forces the issue and that's not good. I go back based on Sartin guidelines which doesn't force the issue and isn't designed for price, its designed to give the horse its best chance to win and not hold conditions against it that it doesn't prefer. If they could talk they would tell the trainers where to enter them. Quite a difference indeed. I would not recommend any Pizzolla method for picking a pace line.
Mitch44
|