Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill V.
Hi Bill
I agree with Mitch, Unless I am reading this wrong,Using FTL's guidelines,64% seems low. When you compare it to using the top 4 ML horses
which for me stands at 77% in all races
For RDSS users, Just using the Tote Xray #2 which is 81% in the top 4
Good Skill
Bill
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Let's say that you look at 100 races
I only reported that using FTL's guidelines, contenders appeared in 64% of the races worked. That 64% is FTL's entire universe! He does not participate in the 36% of the races that do not have his contenders. So his winners come from those 64 races alone after he determines if there is enough value to place a bet. I have no idea how many tracks or races he looks at per day, nor do i know how many races he actually deems bet worthy out of the 64 with contenders, but by demanding 4/1 or better you could surmise that the number of bets made in those 64 qualifying races is fairly low. You do not need a high win percentage in order to create a positive ROI when you only bet on horses going off at 4/1 or higher. Less than half of all races at DMR paid more than 4/1 so you can see that the criteria for a bet, if you handicapped DMR, are very rigid and ultimately result in a very small number of bets. A very conservative approach all in all.