[Jeebs]

In this race, BLT/C yields more possible "true" contenders than the Original/FTL guidelines did. However, more can sometimes muddy the waters a touch. Although #10 looks dominant off that last line, the reality is that the horse typically doesn't show up in the initial race off the layoff. In layoffs of 50+ days in its 10 race chart, the horse shows nothing. We won't know until after the race is run whether this one will be able to run a big one off the bench. I would downgrade this one based on its previous layoff history. I would also downgrade the #1 based on its Total Energy and nasty habit of doing its serious bidding in F3. Lastly, if you downgrade #9 due to an ice cold trainer at the meet, you're left with the trio of 5-6-8.

The BLT/C matchup flatters #8 more than the other matchup did, although #6 still looms a major threat. In fact, both Sartin elements flatter #6.

Overall, I don't see this as a prime opportunity. For the most part, both paceline/contender guideline sets point to the same runners, albeit a few extra runners and differences in pacelines. There are some unknowns that exist that are tough calls. However, for entertainment/small profit, you can't do wrong playing the #6, as it passes the acid test on both the Original/FTL guidelines and BLT/C.