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Old 03-03-2018, 10:44 PM   #40
Mitch44
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: The Villages, Fl.
Posts: 3,872
Great summary Tim.


As handicappers we run into the same problems over & over. Such as lay offs, drop downs, cut backs , stretch outs etc. If you can't deal with them then you must pass the race. They generally reward very good and even this horse probably should have paid more. Ortiz rode it so that probably lowered the payoff.


This horse could rate and didn't have a sprinter % Med so the stretch out wasn't a surprise. Trainer is 22% with last out winners. Trainer took over 5 races back and added B last 3 and smartly stretched it out. We tend to overlook consistency , EPS but their both included in the CR & CR+ ratings.


Success comes from analyzing the whole chart of each contender as if you were the trainer.


Mitch44
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