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Old 03-19-2018, 01:14 AM   #2
Bill V.
The egg man
 
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Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
Handicapping from Result Chart or Video Replays

Hi John

The problem I have with result chart and video replays are. As the methodology teaches us, It not how fast a horse runs,
Its how well it runs against the pace of the race it ran against.

I watched Justify's SA race as it happened, he looked so much bigger and
developed against his competition that day. It seemed effortless.

So in a result chart, and watching the video, he looks unbeatable
The problem is the next time he runs, How do we know how he will
run against a new matchup and against what pace of race?

The methodology programs have always been about picking pacelines
We need to know "how will the horse run today"
and how will it do against today's matchup and pace of race.

Bill
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