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David,
I can see why this race is an intriguing race to Match Up. There are many possibilities in the race, but Lava Man is the horse to beat. His odds will be so low that you will be unable to bet on him, or against him. Preachingatthebar is a good early horse, but as you stated Lava Man could catch him. Magnum is an intriguing horse. This will be a good race to watch and find better wagering opportunities, or play a couple of exotics.
The Hat
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