Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

Bill V. · 06-17-2018, 02:03 PM

This is a message request in my PM folder this morning .

"I have noticed that in posts featuring races you say you have only a place wager. Could you please post the criteria you use for making that decision. Specifically when a place bet is preferable to a win bet and/or when a wp bet is preferred.

Thanks for your time and for all your posts. They have been very helpful.

TL"

Hello TL

This is my outline to my recent success "place betting"

This is very IMPORTANT " I go into each race looking for a winning horse .

I am not looking for a place horse, I'm looking for the most likely winner
but only betting that horse to PLACE

Criteria- Any race, any track, any distance , or surface
Field size does not matter, although place prices are better with big fields.

Program requirements Rdss with live tote
The ability to wait till the very last moment before the bell to
place bet . I use Xbselect or Twinspires With lots of practice and focus I can make my bet within seconds of the lockout.

Okay let me walk through a live race

This is race 2 today Sunday June 17th from Belmont.

HAPPY FATHERS DAY

First thing is I use Phase 1 for contenders and pacelines

Here is what I have for race 2

I have moved horses 4 and 1 to secondary contenders.
I move every horse who is over 20/1 ML or running at a non comparable
distance structure, or who is not one of the top 3 EPR or LPR or Top 5
TPR horses or any horse that is more than 5 points below the top rated TPR horse .

Using these basic Phase 1 requirements, I get the winner in the group
over 92% In all races - I have 2300+ races in my database

Name: TPR.PNG
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Continued next post .

06-17-2018, 02:03 PM	#1
Bill V. The egg man Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Carlsbad, California Posts: 10,005	Place This is a message request in my PM folder this morning . "I have noticed that in posts featuring races you say you have only a place wager. Could you please post the criteria you use for making that decision. Specifically when a place bet is preferable to a win bet and/or when a wp bet is preferred. Thanks for your time and for all your posts. They have been very helpful. TL" Hello TL This is my outline to my recent success "place betting" This is very IMPORTANT " I go into each race looking for a winning horse . I am not looking for a place horse, I'm looking for the most likely winner but only betting that horse to PLACE Criteria- Any race, any track, any distance , or surface Field size does not matter, although place prices are better with big fields. Program requirements Rdss with live tote The ability to wait till the very last moment before the bell to place bet . I use Xbselect or Twinspires With lots of practice and focus I can make my bet within seconds of the lockout. Okay let me walk through a live race This is race 2 today Sunday June 17th from Belmont. HAPPY FATHERS DAY First thing is I use Phase 1 for contenders and pacelines Here is what I have for race 2 I have moved horses 4 and 1 to secondary contenders. I move every horse who is over 20/1 ML or running at a non comparable distance structure, or who is not one of the top 3 EPR or LPR or Top 5 TPR horses or any horse that is more than 5 points below the top rated TPR horse . Using these basic Phase 1 requirements, I get the winner in the group over 92% In all races - I have 2300+ races in my database Continued next post .