A very good post that I would like to expand on.
If looking for tandems gets you (general usage) there, so be it, but in order to benefit from the basic premise you’ve made here, it doesn’t require a tandem.
Quoting from your post:
Quote:
Originally Posted by lone speed
Bill,
I wanted to go back and review this race because it a perfect race to show "The Classic Tandem Reversal"
Attachment 46757
The eventual race winner; Good Magic went off at 2/5 so it did not surprised a soul but the race itself provides a perfect example of "The Classic Tandem Reversal"......
In the Preakness Race, Good Magic fought and pushed the Triple Crown Champion, Justify throughout the early fractions before succumbing at the finish line and finishing behind Justify and Bravazo - who is also entered in this race.
But in this race- what is different is this match-up??? Justify is not in the race to fight the early pace fractions against Good Magic. The pace fractions from the Preakness happens to be the best (adjusted) in this particular match-up in the Haskell.
So today, Good Magic will not have to face Justify's early energy expenditure and it appears that no other entrant is capable to match- up with the early pace fractions. This will allow Good Magic to run a softer early pace thus it will have more conserved energy to run the late part of the race. Good Magic will reverse the tandem with Bravazo.
Attachment 46758 |
That is right on the money.
In the end, if you think about it, it didn’t matter if Bravazo was in the race or not. Bravazo being in the race had no bearing on the outcome.
What did matter was whether Justify was in the race or not.
That is what had a bearing on the outcome.
With or without Bravazo in the race, you identified the “key” to picking the winner of the race.
There are many races out there where the basic premise you made here applies. You just have to look for them.
Again, nice post!