Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

Mitch44 · 11-20-2018, 10:59 AM

Hello canterbury18,

Contender selection has evolved over the years. Such as the top 5 Morning Line, APV, Speed Rating plus Variant, TPR. Total Energy and several other factors within RDSS.

They all will produce results but which is the best? Why settle for something that provides 80% when another factor provides 84% etc.? That can best be revealed by a small exercise of recording the data of the factor for winning horses. Yes exercise is work however its not asking one to perform manual labor. We learn by doing. There is a huge gap between being book smart and demonstrated performance.

Your survey should not include 2 yr. old's and Maiden races because there isn't enough data there for a factor and they'll ruin the data collected. Some combine factors which I don't recommend because you end up averaging as the worst factor will tear down the best factor. Don't average this survey! A bonus of this exercise is that it will provide data on factors that will help separate contenders to get it down to your two horses for betting. Which factors within such as BLBL or CSR are the most powerful for not only contenders but those deciding factors that separate winners.

I'm one that frowns on those unwilling to work because I know they will not be successful and are a waste of my valuable time which could be devoted to doing races.
With that being said Sartin always provided a means for picking contenders and pace lines to get members out of the starting gate. I will continue that precedent by telling you I use some Bris products for my contenders. My choice is Profit or Prime Power.

I'm sure others will disagree however I'll know they haven't done the work. That's OK through as they feed the winner payoffs and make this merry go round turn. We need them out there.

Mitch44

11-20-2018, 10:59 AM	#4
Mitch44 Grade 1 Join Date: Nov 2014 Location: The Villages, Fl. Posts: 3,872	Hello canterbury18, Contender selection has evolved over the years. Such as the top 5 Morning Line, APV, Speed Rating plus Variant, TPR. Total Energy and several other factors within RDSS. They all will produce results but which is the best? Why settle for something that provides 80% when another factor provides 84% etc.? That can best be revealed by a small exercise of recording the data of the factor for winning horses. Yes exercise is work however its not asking one to perform manual labor. We learn by doing. There is a huge gap between being book smart and demonstrated performance. Your survey should not include 2 yr. old's and Maiden races because there isn't enough data there for a factor and they'll ruin the data collected. Some combine factors which I don't recommend because you end up averaging as the worst factor will tear down the best factor. Don't average this survey! A bonus of this exercise is that it will provide data on factors that will help separate contenders to get it down to your two horses for betting. Which factors within such as BLBL or CSR are the most powerful for not only contenders but those deciding factors that separate winners. I'm one that frowns on those unwilling to work because I know they will not be successful and are a waste of my valuable time which could be devoted to doing races. With that being said Sartin always provided a means for picking contenders and pace lines to get members out of the starting gate. I will continue that precedent by telling you I use some Bris products for my contenders. My choice is Profit or Prime Power. I'm sure others will disagree however I'll know they haven't done the work. That's OK through as they feed the winner payoffs and make this merry go round turn. We need them out there. Mitch44 Last edited by Mitch44; 11-20-2018 at 11:04 AM.