Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post - Gpx 01-18-19 selections (all races)

partsnut · 01-19-2019, 09:42 PM

Hi Pook,
Longshots normally hit around 12%.of the time.
I look for races where specific angles come into play and I choose to bypass the contenders everyone else comes up with.

Today at SAX, I originally came up with the (8) horse where the trainer and Jockey win combination was 55%. However, the trainer had a poor turf record for first timers on turf.
So, I went with the (4) who finished in a dead heat for 2nd. The (8) won at 9-1. I guess I was too smart and had an information overload. Go figure. Longshots are speculative and a hard way to go. You try and see what others don't.

01-19-2019, 09:42 PM	#3
partsnut BetMix User Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 2,433	Hi Pook, Longshots normally hit around 12%.of the time. I look for races where specific angles come into play and I choose to bypass the contenders everyone else comes up with. Today at SAX, I originally came up with the (8) horse where the trainer and Jockey win combination was 55%. However, the trainer had a poor turf record for first timers on turf. So, I went with the (4) who finished in a dead heat for 2nd. The (8) won at 9-1. I guess I was too smart and had an information overload. Go figure. Longshots are speculative and a hard way to go. You try and see what others don't.