Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

ScottB · 02-05-2020, 12:27 PM

or Optimal Betting which is based theoretically on the horses chances of winning is a load of crap IMO and is just something that confuses the issue.

If I handicap a race and I like a horse that is going off at 4-1, I know if I bet $100 win I am going to turn a profit of $400 if my horse wins. If my horse is going off 5/2 and I bet $100 win I am going to turn a profit of $250.

That's all I have to know. Why confuse matters with bogus formulas.

02-05-2020, 12:27 PM	#1
ScottB Grade 1 Join Date: Aug 2019 Posts: 115	Betting with an edge or Optimal Betting which is based theoretically on the horses chances of winning is a load of crap IMO and is just something that confuses the issue. If I handicap a race and I like a horse that is going off at 4-1, I know if I bet $100 win I am going to turn a profit of $400 if my horse wins. If my horse is going off 5/2 and I bet $100 win I am going to turn a profit of $250. That's all I have to know. Why confuse matters with bogus formulas.