Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

mnl97 · 06-22-2020, 04:10 PM

I'm a bit confused about TS POR In first paragraph below you say not a good indicator and the second paragraph you recommend tracking TS POR#.

The F3 PoR and TS PoR factors (Fraction3 and True Speed aka Final Time velocity for the race, respectively) are not good indicators for models if only because some pacelines for today's horses will be drawn from Tandem races (i.e. the same race) and thus will have identical PoR values and thus TIED ranks. Thus, results in more hits in the Top 4 (and why 100% for TS PoR).

You may find it interesting to research what the intersection ranks show using Top 5/4 ProfitLine, Top 5/4 Bris Prime Power, Top 5/4 TSPoR+ and Top 5/4 Rx3. For extra (and in my experience - impactful) measure, compare the Top 3 Tx2 (Place to Win Ratio) from the toteboard readings.

06-22-2020, 04:10 PM	#14
mnl97 Broke Down Join Date: May 2019 Location: Northeast Texas Posts: 38	I'm a bit confused about TS POR In first paragraph below you say not a good indicator and the second paragraph you recommend tracking TS POR#. The F3 PoR and TS PoR factors (Fraction3 and True Speed aka Final Time velocity for the race, respectively) are not good indicators for models if only because some pacelines for today's horses will be drawn from Tandem races (i.e. the same race) and thus will have identical PoR values and thus TIED ranks. Thus, results in more hits in the Top 4 (and why 100% for TS PoR). You may find it interesting to research what the intersection ranks show using Top 5/4 ProfitLine, Top 5/4 Bris Prime Power, Top 5/4 TSPoR+ and Top 5/4 Rx3. For extra (and in my experience - impactful) measure, compare the Top 3 Tx2 (Place to Win Ratio) from the toteboard readings.