Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

mnl97 · 06-30-2020, 07:30 PM

I've handicapped and bet 27 more races at CD for a total of 47. As before, all on dirt; sprint and rte included. NO Maidens. Bet 2 horses to win, $3/$2.
SEE ATTACHED

My intention on the 2nd 20 was to bet the 1st and 2nd ranked VDC and with decent odds. At first I bet against low odds favorites that were ranked VDC=1 or 2. I had to change due to so many top VDC low odds favorites were winning.

The first 20 ROI was 1.5. The next 27 was 1.19. With 47 races it dropped to 1.34. Quite a disappointment. I would have been worse if it were not for a win on a 18.5:1 long shot that had a VDC of 3 and Rx3 of 1. I had a winner in 40% of the races.

Based on all the data collected, I added a few more factors to track.
BL, V/DC, RX1, RX3, TSF3+ #, FX, CPR#, POS STR, TPP#, PROFITLINE, BPP.

Chose first 10 based on %top 4>80, %top 3>70 and/or %top 2>60%. A table is attached. Ted, I don't have access to the Tote factors.

My biggest take away is when RDSS says the low odds favorite should win the race, believe it. I've attached a table showing the factor ranks for the low odds winners. TABLE ATTACHED.

Would appreciate your thoughts on the factors that had the highest % for 47 races at CD. With all this information, I'm not sure how BEST to use it.

I've struggled with writing enough. I''ll share more stuff/ask more questions later.

06-30-2020, 07:30 PM	#20
mnl97 Broke Down Join Date: May 2019 Location: Northeast Texas Posts: 38	2nd 20 Race Cycle I've handicapped and bet 27 more races at CD for a total of 47. As before, all on dirt; sprint and rte included. NO Maidens. Bet 2 horses to win, $3/$2. SEE ATTACHED My intention on the 2nd 20 was to bet the 1st and 2nd ranked VDC and with decent odds. At first I bet against low odds favorites that were ranked VDC=1 or 2. I had to change due to so many top VDC low odds favorites were winning. The first 20 ROI was 1.5. The next 27 was 1.19. With 47 races it dropped to 1.34. Quite a disappointment. I would have been worse if it were not for a win on a 18.5:1 long shot that had a VDC of 3 and Rx3 of 1. I had a winner in 40% of the races. Based on all the data collected, I added a few more factors to track. BL, V/DC, RX1, RX3, TSF3+ #, FX, CPR#, POS STR, TPP#, PROFITLINE, BPP. Chose first 10 based on %top 4>80, %top 3>70 and/or %top 2>60%. A table is attached. Ted, I don't have access to the Tote factors. My biggest take away is when RDSS says the low odds favorite should win the race, believe it. I've attached a table showing the factor ranks for the low odds winners. TABLE ATTACHED. Would appreciate your thoughts on the factors that had the highest % for 47 races at CD. With all this information, I'm not sure how BEST to use it. I've struggled with writing enough. I''ll share more stuff/ask more questions later.