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Old 07-11-2020, 12:55 PM   #1
rdiam
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Sep 2016
Posts: 607
KEE Full Card 7/11/20

KEE Full Card 7/11/20:

r1: As 6-8, Bs 4-9, Cs 1-2-5-7, Xs 3: wide open, no one wants the lead, 6 shows decent workout since last raced, quality pedigree, 9 is well meant FTS might be value play, 8 wins if runs back to last race

r2: As 6-9, Bs 5-8, Cs 2-4-7-10-13, Xs 1-3: predictable, 6 has quality trainer, quality workouts and breeding, 9 wins if runs back to last race with quality jockey switch to J Ortiz, 5 has decent pedigree and works, 8 needs the lead and is lone early in race filled with FTS

r3: As 6-9-13, Bs 1-5, Cs 2-3-10-12, Xs 4-8: chaos, lots of early speed, 6 switches to Rosario and needs the lead, 9 switches to Santana, 13 2nd time Lasix, can win if runs back to last, 5 been working well, 1 will close into fast early pace,

r4: As 4-6, Cs 1-2-3-5: chalky, 4 likely pounded by rebate syndicates, wins if runs back to last 2 races, 6 there to pick up pieces if 4 falters

r5: As 5-7, Bs 8-9, Cs 2-3-4-6, Xs 1: predictable, 5 has Chad Brown with switch to J Ortiz, 7 has quality works and will battle 9 for lead, 9 switches to Rosario and needs the lead, 8 can win if runs back to last

r6: As 1-7-8, Bs 2-9, Cs 10-13, Xs 3-4-5-11-12-14: chaos, lots of early speed, 1 can win if runs back to last and will close against fast early pace, 2 may be speed of the speed, 7 will press and close against fast early pace, 8 has hot trainer/jockey combo and quality works

r7: As 2-6, Bs 3-4, Cs 1: chalky, 2 likely pounded by rebate syndicates, needs the lead and should get it, 6 switches to Castellano and should pick up pieces if 2 falters,

r8: As 4-6, Bs 2, Cs 1-5-7-8, Xs 3: chalky, 4 likely pounded by rebate syndicates, 6 is lone speed,

r9: As 3-7, Bs 1-4-10, Cs 2-5-8-9-12-13, Xs 6-11: wide open, 7 likely to battle 1 for lead, top jock and workout pattern, 3 can win if runs back to last, hot trainer/jockey combo, 4 has been working well, 10 working well and switches to Castellano

r10: As 2-3-10, Bs 5-6, Cs 1a-4-9, Xs 1-7-8: predictable, no one wants lead, 3 been working well, 2 closes well, 10 been working well with hot trainer/jockey combo and chance to steal this on the lead, 6 first time lasix, quality jockey switch to Smith, decent works

Key: As = main win contenders, Bs = backup win contenders, Cs = marginal win contenders, Xs = toss outs

Chalky = first 2 betting choices likely to win 60%+, predictable = first 2 betting choices likely to win 50%+, wide open = first 2 betting choices likely to win below 50%, chaos = first 2 betting choices likely to win below 40%

Good luck

Richard
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