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Old 10-24-2006, 12:04 AM   #7
Bill Lyster
Grade 1
 
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Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar"
Posts: 2,509
Okay,

I didnt find anything useful in any tandems.

pace of race: 23.2-47-111.2-143.2

1c from #7 L1,
2c from #7 L5;
6f from 1a, L1 &2, but a possible 111.1 from #3 line 3 (but he collapsed off that);
final time from 1a @ 143.3, L1 based on 111.2 @ 3/4, but there is support for this final time in a couple of other places;

It looks like 1a can over come the lead of probably the 3 and 7. #7's best time looks to have come off a 112.1, so if he has to go faster, he's cooked; #3 line 3 projects at about 143 by interpolation.

#8 can track 47.2 and 111.4, but this pace being a little hotter kicks out #8

#7's line from one turn Belmont is probably a few ticks faster than the 2 turn times of the 1a, so I like 3 to win, with #1a to place.

Last edited by Bill Lyster; 10-24-2006 at 12:07 AM. Reason: I mispoke
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