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Running Styles
1a EP or P
2 S
3 P
4 P
5 P
6 P or S
7 EP
8 EP
Use #7's last line as pace of race: 23.2 46.3 1:10.3.
No one really needs the lead and 8 is slower than 7 (if in form at all), therefore 7 gets the lead, no one will pressure it, and can possibly run a bit slower, say 23.2 47 1:11, conserving energy.
#1a has never won against this pace, so probably won't today either, also since it has won it's last 3 races, it may have peaked.
#3 could be threatening, but its best line 2 was not as fast pace as #7s last; it will not seek the lead and will suck behind the 7's more relaxed pace today.
#4 was in a tandem last with #7 but certainly didn't exert itself much: can't see any threats to win.
The rest of the horses are just slower.
I don't see why #7 doesn't wire the field.
Ted
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RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™
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