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I will let rmath answer regarding his method, but in any race consider those with the top 2-3 SR or those within 1 point of the top 2-3 worthy of a second look. You also might consider analyzing a horse's form cycle: in this case, the line 3 back was a "new top" (to borrow a phrase from the "Sheets" guys). The horse then reacted and ran poorly in the race 2 back in a NW1, and in its last race it was circling back around with a quality race at this class level. Using the last race in your analysis would show this horse to have a significant closing kick running sustained. Finally, there was a positive jockey switch to Franco. All of these together would indicate to look a bit more closely at this horse.
Richard
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