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Thanks for the further feedback. I didn't have any specific examples in mind, just a scenario that's come up for me several times recently. Everything you guys said makes complete sense, very logical.
Mitch, your note about betting 2 horses per race is, of course, a solid one. I'm definitely converted to that one. When looking back at my records, a lower roi overall, but the hit rate makes up for it psychologically.
Tim, "on form" makes sense as the key. Obviously the problem is, how to tell if the horse is on form if he/she has been on the wrong surface. I get looking for decent workouts (sometimes it's even tough to tell what is/is not a good workout), but outside of that, it feels tough to me. I'm definitely still learning on that one.
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